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West Virginia vs UCF Prediction 10/18/2025 Today’s College Football Picks
Pick details
West Virginia (2-4) vs UCF (3-3)
October 18, 2025 at 01:00 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: UCF -7.5 — Over/Under: +48.5
The West Virginia Mountaineers and the Central Florida Knights meet Saturday in college football action from FBC Mortgage Stadium. Here’s a West Virginia vs Central Florida prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best West Virginia vs Central Florida pick. We will examine:
The West Virginia Mountaineers recent form and player performance
The Central Florida Knights recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the West Virginia Mountaineers
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Central Florida Knights
Recent betting trends in games played between West Virginia and Central Florida
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the West Virginia vs Central Florida game
The Mountaineers have six games in the books so far this year, posting a 2-4 record along the way. West Virginia beat Robert Morris and Pittsburgh in their first three games, sandwiched around a seven-point loss to Ohio. Game four was a loss to Kansas 41-10, then came a 48-14 loss to Utah. In that one the Mountaineers gave up double-digit points in every quarter and were down 28-0 by halftime. The offense accounted for just 85 passing yards and 4-of-14 on third downs in the defeat.
In their latest outing back on October 3 versus BYU, the Mountaineers recorded another loss. West Virginia was down 28-10 by halftime and limped to a 38-24 result in the end. QB Khalil Wilkins was 7-of-15 for 81 yards and two picks, while also serving as the lead rusher on 23 carries for 89 yards and a score. Tops in receiving was Jeff Weimer with two catches for 43 yards. Cam Vaughn shared that tally as well, adding in a touchdown for his stat line.
Over on the Knights’ side, they kicked off the season with a trio of wins, taking out Jacksonville State, North Carolina A&T and North Carolina in succession over the first three outings. After a 34-20 loss to Kansas State, UCF fell once again versus Kansas in game five 27-20. In that home defeat, the Knights offense posted 375 yards with a pretty ugly 4-of-16 success rate on third-down conversions. The defense gave up 356 yards on the other side but did hold the Jayhawks to just 3-of-11 on third downs themselves.
Matched up against Cincinnati last weekend, the Knights were down 17-3 by the break and that score held into the fourth quarter. UCF got it going a bit in the final frame but it wasn’t enough in a 20-11 road loss. QB Cam Fancher was 28-of-49 for 222 yards in the defeat, while also leading the rush on 20 carries for 108 yards and a score. Dylan Wade caught five balls for 55 yards to top the receivers in the losing effort.
Heading into Week 8, Duane Thomas Jr. leads UCF for receptions (26) this season.
Heading into Week 8, Cam Vaughn leads West Virginia for touchdowns (3) this season.
UCF ranks 14th among FBS teams for passing yards allowed per game this season (157.5).
UCF ranks T15th among FBS teams for average point differential in first quarters this season (+6.3).
West Virginia ranks 132nd among FBS teams for time of possession per game this season (26:15).
West Virginia ranks T129th among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (2.3).
I’ll lean toward the Knights. I’m probably not touching this one, though. UCF had a tricky matchup against Cincinnati last weekend and they weren’t able to rise to the occasion on the road. The Knights ended up with 413 total yards and 26 first downs on offense, while the D gave up just 14 first downs and 2-of-9 on third-down conversions. The big stat was the 10 penalties for 75 yards; it was a pretty sloppy game.
As for West Virginia, they didn’t look great in their latest game versus BYU—despite the defense coming up with three takeaways and holding the Cougars to just 4-of-12 on third downs. The offense accounted for just 291 yards on the other side and had a couple of picks, which wasn’t enough to keep pace. WVU has given up 38 or more points in three straight games now, so there should be some ample scoring opportunities for the Knights here.
The West Virginia Mountaineers recent form and player performance
The Central Florida Knights recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the West Virginia Mountaineers
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Central Florida Knights
Recent betting trends in games played between West Virginia and Central Florida
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the West Virginia vs Central Florida game
West Virginia Mountaineers Betting Preview
The Mountaineers have six games in the books so far this year, posting a 2-4 record along the way. West Virginia beat Robert Morris and Pittsburgh in their first three games, sandwiched around a seven-point loss to Ohio. Game four was a loss to Kansas 41-10, then came a 48-14 loss to Utah. In that one the Mountaineers gave up double-digit points in every quarter and were down 28-0 by halftime. The offense accounted for just 85 passing yards and 4-of-14 on third downs in the defeat.
In their latest outing back on October 3 versus BYU, the Mountaineers recorded another loss. West Virginia was down 28-10 by halftime and limped to a 38-24 result in the end. QB Khalil Wilkins was 7-of-15 for 81 yards and two picks, while also serving as the lead rusher on 23 carries for 89 yards and a score. Tops in receiving was Jeff Weimer with two catches for 43 yards. Cam Vaughn shared that tally as well, adding in a touchdown for his stat line.
Central Florida Knights Betting Preview
Over on the Knights’ side, they kicked off the season with a trio of wins, taking out Jacksonville State, North Carolina A&T and North Carolina in succession over the first three outings. After a 34-20 loss to Kansas State, UCF fell once again versus Kansas in game five 27-20. In that home defeat, the Knights offense posted 375 yards with a pretty ugly 4-of-16 success rate on third-down conversions. The defense gave up 356 yards on the other side but did hold the Jayhawks to just 3-of-11 on third downs themselves.
Matched up against Cincinnati last weekend, the Knights were down 17-3 by the break and that score held into the fourth quarter. UCF got it going a bit in the final frame but it wasn’t enough in a 20-11 road loss. QB Cam Fancher was 28-of-49 for 222 yards in the defeat, while also leading the rush on 20 carries for 108 yards and a score. Dylan Wade caught five balls for 55 yards to top the receivers in the losing effort.
West Virginia Mountaineers @ UCF Knights Betting Trends: Week 8
UCF Knights Player Prop Facts
Heading into Week 8, Duane Thomas Jr. leads UCF for receptions (26) this season.
West Virginia Mountaineers Player Prop Facts
Heading into Week 8, Cam Vaughn leads West Virginia for touchdowns (3) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
UCF ranks 14th among FBS teams for passing yards allowed per game this season (157.5).
UCF ranks T15th among FBS teams for average point differential in first quarters this season (+6.3).
West Virginia ranks 132nd among FBS teams for time of possession per game this season (26:15).
West Virginia ranks T129th among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (2.3).
West Virginia vs Central Florida Prediction
I’ll lean toward the Knights. I’m probably not touching this one, though. UCF had a tricky matchup against Cincinnati last weekend and they weren’t able to rise to the occasion on the road. The Knights ended up with 413 total yards and 26 first downs on offense, while the D gave up just 14 first downs and 2-of-9 on third-down conversions. The big stat was the 10 penalties for 75 yards; it was a pretty sloppy game.
As for West Virginia, they didn’t look great in their latest game versus BYU—despite the defense coming up with three takeaways and holding the Cougars to just 4-of-12 on third downs. The offense accounted for just 291 yards on the other side and had a couple of picks, which wasn’t enough to keep pace. WVU has given up 38 or more points in three straight games now, so there should be some ample scoring opportunities for the Knights here.