Virginia vs NC State Prediction 9/6/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

Virginia and NC State meet Saturday in college football action from Carter-Finley. Here’s a Virginia vs NC State prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Virginia Cavaliers vs NC State Wolfpack pick. We will examine:

The Virginia Cavaliers’ recent form and player performance

The NC State Wolfpack’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Cavaliers

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Wolfpack

Recent betting trends in games played between Virginia and NC State

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Virginia and NC State game.

Strong First Game for Virginia

It was a strong first game for Virginia and they were able to knock off Coastal Carolina. The offense will get the attention, but what the defense did should also be talked about a lot more. At halftime, they were up 28-0, and they never looked back. Under center for Virginia was Chandler Morris, and he completed 19 of his 27 passes for 264 yards and two touchdowns. Even though the offense was good, the running game could be improved upon a little bit. Morris was the top rusher, finishing with five rushes for 50 yards. 

Noah Vaughn rushed 10 times for 45 yards. Wide receiver Cameron Ross caught seven passes for 124 yards and a touchdown. They allowed Coastal Carolina to only pick up 163 yards through the air and 91 yards on the ground. In this game, the most important thing is going to be a strong defense. 

Why Virginia Will Beat NC State

• NC State has lost three of its last four games against conference opponents at Carter-Finley Stadium.
• NC State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six September games at Carter-Finley Stadium.
• Virginia has covered the spread in each of its last four games as an underdog against teams from North Carolina.

NC State Was Tested

NC State was tested in the first game against East Carolina, but they were still able to pull out a victory late. At halftime they were up 17-7, but in the second half they allowed East Carolina back into the game. The one big issue was the Wolfpack’s pass defense. They allowed Katin Houser to throw for 366 yards and a touchdown. On offense, NC State was led by CJ Bailey who completed 24 of his 34 passes for 318 yards, one touchdown, and one interception. Daylan Smothers also finished with 22 carries for 76 yards and a touchdown. Wesley Grimes had a huge game through the air and he caught four passes for 121 yards and a touchdown. 

Why NC State Will Beat Virginia

• NC State has won each of its last 11 games as a favorite against teams from Virginia.
• Virginia has lost each of its last six September games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
• NC State has covered the spread in four of its last five games against conference opponents.
• Virginia has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games as an underdog in North Carolina.

Virginia vs NC State Prediction

I have major concerns about the way the Wolfpack defense performed in the first game, and that is going to end up being the difference here. They allowed Houser to throw for 366 yards in the last game, and Chandler Morris can do the same against him. He threw for 264 yards in the first game, and he will go even higher than that. I might be higher than some on the Cavaliers this year, but I truly believe that Virginia can make some noise in the ACC. That is going ot start with a victory in this game. You don’t need the points here. Back Virginia on the money line.