Virginia vs Missouri Prediction 12/27/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

The Virginia Cavaliers and Missouri Tigers meet Friday in the college football Gator Bowl at EverBank Stadium. Here’s a Virginia vs Missouri Prediction. This article will include a Virginia vs Missouri Pick.

Virginia Cavaliers Betting Preview

The Virginia Cavaliers beat Virginia Tech and lost to Duke. The Virginia Cavaliers have won 9 of its last 11 games. Chandler Morris is completing 64.6 percent of his passes for 2,802 yards, 16 touchdowns, and 9 interceptions. Trell Harris and Jahmal Edrine have combined for 1,373 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns, while Cam Ross has 48 receptions.

The Virginia Cavaliers ground game is averaging 184 yards per contest, and J’Mari Taylor leads the way with 1,062 yards and 14 touchdowns. Defensively, Virginia is allowing 20.5 points and 313.9 yards per game. Devin Neal leads the Virginia Cavaliers with 77 tackles, Daniel Rickert has 6.5 sacks and Ja’son Prevard has 3 interceptions.

Missouri Tigers Betting Preview

The Missouri Tigers lost to Oklahoma and beat Arkansas. The Missouri Tigers have split their last 8 games. Beau Pribula is completing 67.4 percent of his passes for 1,941 yards, 11 touchdowns, and 9 interceptions. Donovan Olugbode and Kevin Coleman Jr. have combined for 1,067 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while Marquis Johnson has 28 receptions.

The Missouri Tigers ground game is averaging 234.1 yards per contest, and Ahmad Hardy leads the way with 1,560 yards and 16 touchdowns. Defensively, Missouri is allowing 19.4 points and 274.8 yards per game. Josiah Trotter leads the Missouri Tigers with 84 tackles, Damon Wilson II has 9 sacks and Toriano Pride Jr. has 2 interceptions.

Why the Missouri Tigers will win

• Missouri has won each of its last 25 games as a favorite.
• Virginia has lost each of its last four games at neutral venues.
• Missouri has covered the spread in 11 of its last 13 games as a favorite.
• Virginia has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four games played at neutral venues.

Why the Virginia Cavaliers will win

• The underdog has won three of Virginia’s last four games.
• Missouri has lost four of its last six December games as a favorite.
• Missouri has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight games against AP-ranked teams.
• Virginia has covered the spread in each of its last four games as an underdog in Florida.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Virginia’s last four games have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Five of Missouri’s last six Bowl games have gone UNDER the total points line

Missouri Tigers Player Prop Facts

• Heading into the bowl games, Ahmad Hardy ranks 2nd amongst FBS players for rushing yards (1560) this season.

Virginia Cavaliers Player Prop Facts

• Heading into the bowl games, Will Bettridge ranks T7th amongst FBS players for made field goals (22) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Missouri ranks 8th among FBS teams for rushing yards per game this season (234.1).
• Missouri ranks 10th among FBS teams for yards allowed per game this season (274.8).
• Virginia ranks 12th among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (2.7).
• Virginia ranks 13th among FBS teams for 3rd down conversion percentage this season (49.0).

Virginia vs Missouri Prediction

Missouri is getting the benefit of the doubt because it’s the SEC program and there’s usually some bias there in non conference games. They supposed to be the SEC. Anyways, Missouri will be down two key offensive players in wide receiver Marquis Johnson and quarterback Beau Pribula. That’s kind of a big deal. Virginia is pretty much whole, and it’s a top-35 scoring offense and scoring defense. Virginia was solid this season, regardless of what you think of the ACC. Virginia is 3-1 ATS and SU this season as an underdog. Starting the season 5-0 Missouri was thinking college football playoff, so motivation could be an issue here as well. I’ll grab the points with Virginia, a team that’s been disrespected all year.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Virginia +4