Oct 24, 2025; Blacksburg, Virginia, USA;  California Golden Bears quarterback Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele (3) looks to throw a pass against the Virginia Tech Hokies during the second quarter at Lane Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Brian Bishop-Imagn Images
Brian Bishop-Imagn Images

Virginia vs California Prediction 11/1/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

Pick details

Virginia (7-1) vs California (5-3)

November 1, 2025 at 03:45 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: California +4 — Over/Under: +53

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Virginia vs California prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, November 1st at California Memorial Stadium in Berkeley, California. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 10 matchup. 

Virginia Cavaliers Betting Preview

The Virginia Cavaliers are 7-1 (4-0) this year after they defeated North Carolina in overtime by a score of 17-16 in their last game. Virginia was tied at 10 at halftime and there were zero points scored in the second half, but they got the win in overtime when they stopped UNC’s two point conversion. The Cavaliers were out gained by a total of 353-259, went 7-18 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 3-1 in the game. Chandler Morris went 20-35 for 200 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, while J’Mari Taylor rushed 21 times for 69 yards and one score. Jahmal Edrine led the receivers with six catches for 75 yards in the game. The UVA defense recorded three sacks and four tackles for loss in the win. 

Prior to that game, Virginia defeated Washington State by a score of 22-20 and Louisville by a score of 30-27. The Cavaliers have won six games in a row and they are currently second in the ACC standings. Virginia has scored 37.1 points per game with 251.1 passing yards and 185.8 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 22.4 points against per game this season. Chandler Morris has thrown for 1,807 yards, 12 touchdowns, and five interceptions, while J’Mari Taylor has rushed for 581 yards and nine scores on 129 carries this year. 

California Golden Bears Betting Preview

The California Golden Bears are 5-3 (2-2) this season after they lost to Virginia Tech in double overtime by a score of 42-34 in their last game. California led 20-10 at halftime, but needed a late touchdown to force overtime, before picking up the loss. The Golden Bears were out gained by a total of 476-325, went 5-14 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 1-0 in the game. Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele went 24-39 for 286 yards and one touchdown, while Kendrick Raphael rushed 20 times for 71 yards and three scores. Jacob De Jesus led the receivers with eight receptions for 86 yards in the loss. The Cal defense recorded three sacks and four tackles for loss in the game. 

Prior to that game, California defeated North Carolina by a score of 21-18, but did lose to Duke by a score of 45-21 before that. The Golden Bears have alternated wins and losses over their last six games and they are currently tied for eighth in the ACC standings. California has scored 25.0 points per game with 253.8 passing yards and 87.4 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 24.4 points against per game this season. Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele has thrown for 1,982 yards, 11 touchdowns, and seven interceptions, while Kendrick Raphael has rushed 135 times for 566 yards and eight scores this season. 

Why the California Golden Bears will win

  • Virginia has lost 19 of its last 21 road games in November.
  • California has won four of its last five games at California Memorial Stadium.
  • The underdog has covered the spread in five of California’s last six games at California Memorial Stadium.
  • The team ranked 15th in the AP Poll has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Virginia’s last four November road games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Six of California’s last seven games as an underdog against top-15 AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • California ranks T113th among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (5.6).
  • California ranks 106th among FBS teams for yards per game this season (341.1).
  • Virginia ranks 3rd among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (2.4).
  • Virginia ranks 10th among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (10.0).

Virginia vs California Prediction 

Virginia comes into this matchup with an undefeated ACC record and they are ranked #15 in the country, but they barely escaped against North Carolina and Washington State in their last two games. California has been very inconsistent this year, but they are capable of winning this game, especially against a Virginia offense that is sputtering. I really like how Cal’s quarterback is playing and with Virginia on the super long road trip, I like Cal and the points at home.

David Racey is 93-72 (57%) in College Football this season and is one of the top College Football Handicappers on the site. Click here for his premium plays for the week!

David Racey's Pick: California +4

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