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Vanderbilt vs Texas Prediction 11/1/2025 Today’s College Football Picks
Pick details
Vanderbilt (7-1) vs Texas (6-2)
November 1, 2025 at 12:00 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Texas -2.5 — Over/Under: +45.5
The Vanderbilt Commodores and the Texas Longhorns meet Saturday in college football action from Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium. Here’s a Vanderbilt vs Texas prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Vanderbilt vs Texas pick. We will examine:
The Vanderbilt Commodores recent form and player performance
The Texas Longhorns recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Vanderbilt Commodores
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Texas Longhorns
Recent betting trends in games played between Vanderbilt and Texas
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Vanderbilt vs Texas game
The Commodores were able to rattle off five straight wins to start the season, taking out Charleston Southern, Virginia Tech, South Carolina, Georgia State and Utah State in that stretch. After a 16-point loss to Alabama, Vanderbilt came back home to pull off a big win over visiting LSU on October 18 by a score of 31-24. In that one the Commodores bagged 399 total yards with 239 rush yards, 6.0 yards per play and no turnovers. The defense gave up 325 yards on the other side with just 14 first downs and 5-of-11 on third-down attempts.
In last weekend’s matchup versus Missouri, Vanderbilt came out of the locker room with a 3-3 tie. After a 14-7 run in the second half the Commodores had a well-earned 17-10 victory at home against a tough squad. QB Diego Pavia was 10-of-19 for 129 yards and a pick while adding 20 yards and a TD on the ground. Makhilyn Young was the top rusher with four carries for 86 yards and a touchdown, and Tre Richardson had four catches for 62 yards in the win.
Over on the Longhorns’ side, they kicked off the year with an unenviable rematch versus Ohio State, losing on the road by one TD. Following wins over San Jose State, UTEP and Sam Houston after that, the Longhorns fell on the road in an upset to Florida. The next two games were both wins though, over Oklahoma and Kentucky. In the victory over the Wildcats 16-13, Texas managed just 179 yards, 47 rush yards, 3.3 yards per play, eight first downs and a rough 5-of-16 success rate on third-down tries—but still bagged the W in the end.
Matched up against Mississippi State on Saturday, Texas was in trouble with a 31-14 deficit heading into the final quarter. The Longhorns surged on a 24-7 run from there however, and ultimately won it in overtime 45-38. QB Arch Manning went 29-of-46 for 346 yards, three scores and a pick while adding a score on the ground. Quintrevion Wisner put up 12 carries for a team-high 41 yards and Ryan Wingo had five catches for 184 yards in the winning effort.
Heading into Week 10, Colin Simmons ranks T7th amongst FBS players for sacks (7.0) this season.
Vanderbilt Commodores Player Prop Facts
Heading into Week 10, Sedrick Alexander ranks T10th amongst FBS players for touchdowns (10) this season.
Texas ranks 3rd among FBS teams for rushing yards allowed per game this season (80.8).
Texas ranks T4th among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage against this season (25.0).
Vanderbilt is one of only eight FBS teams with 100% success rate on field goals this season.
Vanderbilt ranks 9th among FBS teams for 3rd down conversion percentage this season (52.5).
I’ll stick with Vanderbilt. That said, this should be a pretty great matchup and one of the highlights of the weekend slate. The Commodores are coming off a nice win, doing it with defense against Missouri last weekend. Vanderbilt gave up just 5-of-16 on third downs in the home victory, but there was a bit to be desired on offense. The Commodores put up just 129 pass yards, 13 first downs and 3-of-10 on third-down tries alongside eight total penalties in the game. Still, that makes consecutive wins over ranked teams following the 16-point loss to Alabama. Whether or not Vanderbilt can keep that run going on the road remains to be seen, but if they can give the offense a little shot in the arm I like their chances. Texas won’t be easy to handle, though they have had consecutive close calls in overtime wins across their last pair.
The Vanderbilt Commodores recent form and player performance
The Texas Longhorns recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Vanderbilt Commodores
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Texas Longhorns
Recent betting trends in games played between Vanderbilt and Texas
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Vanderbilt vs Texas game
Vanderbilt Commodores Betting Preview
The Commodores were able to rattle off five straight wins to start the season, taking out Charleston Southern, Virginia Tech, South Carolina, Georgia State and Utah State in that stretch. After a 16-point loss to Alabama, Vanderbilt came back home to pull off a big win over visiting LSU on October 18 by a score of 31-24. In that one the Commodores bagged 399 total yards with 239 rush yards, 6.0 yards per play and no turnovers. The defense gave up 325 yards on the other side with just 14 first downs and 5-of-11 on third-down attempts.
In last weekend’s matchup versus Missouri, Vanderbilt came out of the locker room with a 3-3 tie. After a 14-7 run in the second half the Commodores had a well-earned 17-10 victory at home against a tough squad. QB Diego Pavia was 10-of-19 for 129 yards and a pick while adding 20 yards and a TD on the ground. Makhilyn Young was the top rusher with four carries for 86 yards and a touchdown, and Tre Richardson had four catches for 62 yards in the win.
Texas Longhorns Betting Preview
Over on the Longhorns’ side, they kicked off the year with an unenviable rematch versus Ohio State, losing on the road by one TD. Following wins over San Jose State, UTEP and Sam Houston after that, the Longhorns fell on the road in an upset to Florida. The next two games were both wins though, over Oklahoma and Kentucky. In the victory over the Wildcats 16-13, Texas managed just 179 yards, 47 rush yards, 3.3 yards per play, eight first downs and a rough 5-of-16 success rate on third-down tries—but still bagged the W in the end.
Matched up against Mississippi State on Saturday, Texas was in trouble with a 31-14 deficit heading into the final quarter. The Longhorns surged on a 24-7 run from there however, and ultimately won it in overtime 45-38. QB Arch Manning went 29-of-46 for 346 yards, three scores and a pick while adding a score on the ground. Quintrevion Wisner put up 12 carries for a team-high 41 yards and Ryan Wingo had five catches for 184 yards in the winning effort.
Vanderbilt Commodores @ Texas Longhorns Betting Trends: Week 10
Texas Longhorns Player Prop Facts
Heading into Week 10, Colin Simmons ranks T7th amongst FBS players for sacks (7.0) this season.
Vanderbilt Commodores Player Prop Facts
Heading into Week 10, Sedrick Alexander ranks T10th amongst FBS players for touchdowns (10) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
Texas ranks 3rd among FBS teams for rushing yards allowed per game this season (80.8).
Texas ranks T4th among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage against this season (25.0).
Vanderbilt is one of only eight FBS teams with 100% success rate on field goals this season.
Vanderbilt ranks 9th among FBS teams for 3rd down conversion percentage this season (52.5).
Vanderbilt vs Texas Prediction
I’ll stick with Vanderbilt. That said, this should be a pretty great matchup and one of the highlights of the weekend slate. The Commodores are coming off a nice win, doing it with defense against Missouri last weekend. Vanderbilt gave up just 5-of-16 on third downs in the home victory, but there was a bit to be desired on offense. The Commodores put up just 129 pass yards, 13 first downs and 3-of-10 on third-down tries alongside eight total penalties in the game. Still, that makes consecutive wins over ranked teams following the 16-point loss to Alabama. Whether or not Vanderbilt can keep that run going on the road remains to be seen, but if they can give the offense a little shot in the arm I like their chances. Texas won’t be easy to handle, though they have had consecutive close calls in overtime wins across their last pair.
