UTSA vs North Texas Prediction 10/18/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

In this article we will formulate a UTSA vs North Texas prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, October 18th at DATCU Stadium in Denton, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 8 matchup. 

UTSA Roadrunners Betting Preview

The UTSA Roadrunners are 3-3 (1-1) this year after they defeated Rice by a score of 61-13 in their last game. UTSA led 38-10 at halftime and added 23 points in the third quarter for the blowout win. The Roadrunners out gained Rice by a total of 437-269, went 4-10 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 2-0 in the game. Owen McCown went 15-21 for 236 yards and three touchdowns, while Will Henderson III rushed five times for 115 yards and two scores. AJ Wilson led the receivers with two receptions for 77 yards and one touchdown in the win. The UTSA defense recorded two sacks and 17 tackles for loss in the game. 

UTSA also has wins against Colorado State and Incarnate Word, while picking up losses against Temple, Texas State, and Texas A&M. The Roadrunners have won three of their last four games and they are currently tied for seventh in the American standings. UTSA has scored 34.5 points per game with 214.2 passing yards and 180.0 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 26.8 points against per game this season. Owen McCown has thrown for 1,226 yards, 12 touchdowns, and four interceptions, while Robert Henry Jr has rushed 92 times for 730 yards and eight scores this year. 

North Texas Mean Green Betting Preview

The North Texas Mean Green are 5-1 (1-1) this season after they lost to South Florida by a score of 63-36 last week. North Texas led 21-14 in the second quarter, but they allowed the next 28 points and never recovered in the ugly loss. The Mean Green were out gained by a total of 580-423, went 9-18 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 5-3 in the game. Drew Mestemaker went 30-48 for 326 yards, two touchdowns, and three interceptions, while Caleb Hawkins rushed 15 times for 59 yards. Miles Coleman led the receivers with seven catches for 101 yards and one score in the loss. The UNT defense recorded three sacks and four tackles for loss in the game. 

North Texas had won their first five games of the year against South Alabama, Army, Washington State, Western Michigan, and Lamar. The Mean Green have won five of their first six games and they are currently tied for seventh in the American standings. North Texas has scored 43.3 points per game with 268.2 passing yards and 166.5 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 27.2 points against per game this season. Drew Mestemaker has thrown for 1,573 yards, 13 touchdowns, and three interceptions, while Caleb Hawkins has rushed for 356 yards and seven scores on 57 carries this season. 

Why the UTSA Roadrunners will win

North Texas has lost each of its last four games against conference opponents at DATCU Stadium.
UTSA has won five of its last six games against North Texas.
North Texas has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four games against conference opponents at DATCU Stadium.
UTSA has covered the spread in six of its last seven October games as a road underdog.

Total Points Facts

Each of UTSA’s last six games against teams from Texas have gone OVER the total points line.
Each of North Texas’ last four October games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

North Texas ranks 6th among FBS teams for H1 points per game this season (24.8).
North Texas is one of seven FBS teams to score 30+ points in every game this season.
UTSA ranks T128th among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (9.8).
UTSA ranks T124th among FBS teams for red zone percentage against this season (94.4).

UTSA vs North Texas Prediction 

North Texas had their biggest game of the season last week and they led in the first half, but the wheels came off and they ended up losing by 27 points. The Mean Green will look to bounce back in this game, but they will face a UTSA team that has a very strong offensive attack. We know North Texas can move the ball and put up points, but their defense has been suspect at times this year. This should be a very good game, but I think North Texas will start slow and I like UTSA to cover on the road. 

David Racey is 70-48 (59%) in College Football this season and is one of the top College Football Handicappers on the site. Click here for his premium plays for the week!

David Racey's Pick: UTSA +4