Utah State vs UNLV Prediction 11/15/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Utah State vs UNLV Prediction for this College Football Week 12 game on Saturday, November 15th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.

UNLV Rebels Preview

UNLV has a 7-2 record this season and is sitting 5th in the MWC. They are 5-4 ATS, 5-4 in Over/Under and have a 3-1 home record and a 4-1 away record. UNLV is coming off a 42-10 road win against Colorado State and will face Utah State and Hawaii next.

Offensively, UNLV averages 37.4 points per game, ranking 14th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 31.6 points per game, which is 118th. UNLV averages 463.4 total yards per game (256.0 passing and 207.4 rushing), while allowing 450.2 total yards per game (185.2 rushing and 265.0 passing).

Anthony Colandrea leads UNLV with 2,251 passing yards with 69.0% completed passes and 17 touchdowns. Jai’Den Thomas leads the team in rushing yards with 807, while Jaden Bradley has a team-high 37 receptions for 650 receiving yards. Defensively, Marsel McDuffie has a team-high 70 total tackles (34 of them solo), while Tunmise Adeleye leads the team in sacks, with 4, and Aamaris Brown has a team-high 4 interceptions.

Utah State Aggies Preview

Utah State has a 5-4 record this season and is sitting 6th in the MWC. They are 7-2 ATS, 5-4 in Over/Under and have a 5-0 home record and a 0-4 away record. Utah State is coming off a 51-14 home win against Nevada and will face Fresno State and Boise State next.

Offensively, Utah State averages 33.7 points per game, ranking 28th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 29.8 points per game, which is 104th. Utah State averages 425.2 total yards per game (266.7 passing and 158.6 rushing), while allowing 421.6 total yards per game (178.4 rushing and 243.1 passing).

Bryson Barnes leads Utah State with 2,096 passing yards with 65.3% completed passes and 17 touchdowns. Miles Davis leads the team in rushing yards with 609, while Braden Pegan has a team-high 42 receptions for 710 receiving yards. Defensively, John Miller has a team-high 78 total tackles (20 of them solo), while John Miller leads the team in sacks, with 5.5, and Noah Avinger has a team-high 3 interceptions.

Utah State Aggies @ UNLV Rebels Betting Trends: Week 12

Why the UNLV Rebels will win

• The home team has won each of Utah State’s last 13 games.
• Utah State has lost each of its last 14 games as a road underdog.
• Utah State has failed to cover the spread in 13 of its last 14 road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• The home team has covered the spread in each of Utah State’s last four games.

Why the Utah State Aggies will win

• The road team has won four of the last five games between Utah State and UNLV.
• The underdog has covered the spread in each of UNLV’s last four games at Allegiant Stadium.
• UNLV has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five home games against conference opponents.
• Utah State has won the first half in eight of its last 10 games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Utah State’s last six games in November have gone OVER the total points line.
• Nine of UNLV’s last 11 games against non-AP-ranked teams at Allegiant Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.

UNLV Rebels Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 12, Aamaris Brown is the only player to record at least one interception in four consecutive appearances this season.

Utah State Aggies Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 12, Miles Davis ranks T2nd amongst qualified players for catch rate (95.5%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• UNLV has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of 10 points or less of any FBS team this season (3).
• UNLV is one of two FBS teams to score 30+ points in every game this season.
• Utah State is one of only three FBS teams with 100% success rate on field goals this season.
• Utah State ranks T128th among FBS teams for Q2 opponent points per game this season (11.4).

Utah State vs UNLV Prediction

In this Utah State vs UNLV Prediction, UNLV is coming as -6-point home favorites, with the total set at 71 points. UNLV has a better overall record this season and has been almost perfect at home with a 3-1 record. On the flip side, Utah State is winless in its four road games but the total sits at a very high 71 points. UNLV has a 69 average total points this season and Utah State has 63.5 and even though both are big numbers, they are still smaller that the total. Go with the under 71 points in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Under 71