Aug 23, 2025; Honolulu, Hawaii, USA; While being guarded by Hawaii Rainbow Warriors defensive back Elijah Palmer (4), Stanford Cardinal wide receiver Jordan Onovughe (4) can’t pull in and end zone catch during the first half of an NCAA college football game at Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex. Mandatory Credit: Marco Garcia-Imagn Images

Utah State vs Hawai’i Prediction 10/11/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

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Utah State (3-2) vs Hawai'i (4-2)

October 11, 2025 at 11:59 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Hawai'i -1.5 — Over/Under: +57.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Utah State vs Hawaii Prediction for this College Football Week 7 game on Saturday, October 11th at the Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.

Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Preview

The Hawaii Rainbow Warriors have a 4-2 record this season and are sitting on the 7th place of the MWC. They are 4-2 ATS, 2-4 in Over/Under and have a 1-1 away record and 3-1 home record. The Rainbow Warriors are coming off a 44-35 away win against Air Force and are playing Colorado State and San Jose State next.

Offensively, the Rainbow Warriors average 25.7 points per game, which ranks 86th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 23.5 points per game, which is 69th. Hawaii averages 368.8 total yards per game, with 93.3 rushing yards and 275.5 passing yards per game. They allow 315.5 total yards per game, with 127.8 rushing and 187.7 passing yards per game. Micah Alejado leads the Rainbow Warriors with 1043 passing yards and 65.9% completed passes.

Landon Sims leads the team in rushing yards, with 241, and one touchdown, while Pofele Ashlock has a team-high 38 caught passes for 355 receiving yards, and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Peter Manuma has a team-high 33 total tackles, 15 of them solo. Jackie Johnson III leads the Rainbow Warriors in sacks, with 4.5, while Elijah Palmer, Elijah Gipson, Matagi Thompson, and Jamih Otis each have one interception.

Utah State Aggies Preview

The Utah State Aggies have a 3-2 record this season and are sitting on the 1st place of the MWC. They are 5-0 ATS, 3-2 in Over/Under and have a 0-2 away record and 3-0 home record. The Aggies are coming off a 35-55 home loss against Vanderbilt and are playing San Jose State and New Mexico next.

Offensively, the Aggies average 36.4 points per game, which ranks 32nd in the nation. Defensively, they allow 30.4 points per game, which is 111th. Utah State averages 420.6 total yards per game, with 168.8 rushing yards and 251.8 passing yards per game. They allow 413 total yards per game, with 187 rushing and 226 passing yards per game.

Bryson Barnes leads the Aggies with 1143 passing yards and 65.9% completed passes. Miles Davis leads the team in rushing yards, with 314, and 3 touchdowns, while Braden Pegan has a team-high 24 caught passes for 369 receiving yards, and four touchdowns. Defensively, John Miller has a team-high 48 total tackles, 14 of them solo. John Miller leads the Aggies in sacks, with 5, while Noah Avinger has 3 interceptions.

Utah State vs Hawaii Prediction

In their previous meeting last season, Utah State won 55-10 at home, and has won its last 8 meetings against Hawaii. Over is 7-1 in their last 8 meetings.

In this Utah State vs Hawaii Prediction, Hawaii is coming as -1.5-home road favorites, with the total set at 58 points. Hawaii has more wins this season, and have been almost perfect at home, having won three of their four home games. On the flip side, Utah State has lost both road games, but they are a perfect 5-0 against the spread. The Aggies have a better offense, scoring 10.7 points per game more than the Rainbow Warriors, and I like them as road dogs in this spot. Take Utah State on the moneyline for plus money in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Utah State +1.5

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