Utah State vs Fresno State Prediction 11/22/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Utah State vs Fresno State Prediction for this College Football Week 13 game on Saturday, November 22nd. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.

Fresno State Bulldogs Preview

Fresno State has a 7-3 record this season and is sitting 2nd in the MWC. They are 5-5 ATS, 4-6 in Over/Under and have a 4-1 home record and a 3-2 away record. Fresno State is coming off a 24-3 home win against Wyoming and will face San Jose State next.

Offensively, Fresno State averages 25.9 points per game, ranking 76th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 19.9 points per game, which is 25th. Fresno State averages 344.2 total yards per game (184.0 passing and 160.2 rushing), while allowing 289.2 total yards per game (125.6 rushing and 163.6 passing).

E.J. Warner leads Fresno State with 1,486 passing yards with 68.8% completed passes and 10 touchdowns. Bryson Donelson leads the team in rushing yards with 518, while Josiah Freeman has a team-high 33 receptions for 378 receiving yards. Defensively, Jadon Pearson has a team-high 84 total tackles (40 of them solo), while Finn Claypool leads the team in sacks, with 5.5, and Simeon Harris, Alzillion Hamilton have a team-high 3 interceptions each.

Utah State Aggies Preview

Utah State has a 5-5 record this season and is sitting 7th in the MWC. They are 8-2 ATS, 5-5 in Over/Under and have a 5-0 home record and a 0-5 away record. Utah State is coming off a 29-26 road loss against Nevada-Las Vegas and will face Boise State next.

Offensively, Utah State averages 32.9 points per game, ranking 34th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 29.7 points per game, which is 106th. Utah State averages 426.1 total yards per game (265.6 passing and 160.5 rushing), while allowing 421.6 total yards per game (175.2 rushing and 246.4 passing).

Bryson Barnes leads Utah State with 2,352 passing yards with 63.1% completed passes and 18 touchdowns. Miles Davis leads the team in rushing yards with 651, while Braden Pegan has a team-high 50 receptions for 819 receiving yards. Defensively, John Miller has a team-high 89 total tackles (24 of them solo), while John Miller leads the team in sacks, with 7.5, and Noah Avinger has a team-high 3 interceptions.

Utah State Aggies @ Fresno State Bulldogs Betting Trends: Week 13

Why the Fresno State Bulldogs will win

• The home team has won each of Utah State’s last 14 games.
• Utah State has lost each of its last 15 games as a road underdog.
• Utah State has failed to cover the spread in 13 of its last 15 road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Fresno State has covered the spread in each of its last four games in November.
• Fresno State has won the first half in seven of its last eight home games against conference opponents.

Why the Utah State Aggies will win

• Utah State has won four of its last six games as an underdog in California.
• Fresno State has lost four of its last six November games as a favorite.
• Fresno State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four home games against teams from Utah.
• Utah State has covered the spread in eight of its last 10 games.
• Utah State has won the first quarter in three of its last four games against conference opponents.
• Utah State has won the first half in nine of its last 11 games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Utah State’s last four games after coming off overtime have gone OVER the total points line.
• Six of Fresno State’s last seven home games against conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.

Fresno State Bulldogs Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 13, Rayshon Luke ranks 5th amongst qualified players for catch rate (93.3%) this season.

Utah State Aggies Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 13, Miles Davis ranks T2nd amongst qualified players for catch rate (95.8%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Fresno State ranks 8th among FBS teams for H2 opponent points per game this season (6.9).
• Fresno State ranks 10th among FBS teams for passing yards allowed per game this season (163.6).
• Utah State ranks 128th among FBS teams for Q2 opponent points per game this season (11.0).
• Utah State ranks 127th among FBS teams for time of possession per game this season (27:23).

Utah State vs Fresno State Prediction

In this Utah State vs Fresno State Prediction, Fresno State is coming as -2.5-point home favorites, with the total set at 51 points. Fresno State has a better overall record and has been almost perfect at home, while Utah State has been winless on the road. Fresno has a superior defense, allowing 9.8 points per game fewer than Utah and I expect them to get the job done at home. Take Fresno State and lay the short number at home.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Fresno State -3