UNLV vs Boise State Prediction 12/5/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

In this article, we will formulate a UNLV vs Boise State Prediction for this College Football Mountain West Championship game on Friday, December 5th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.

Boise State Broncos Preview

Boise State has an 8-4 record this season and finished 3rd in the MWC. They are coming off a 25-24 road win against Utah State. Offensively, Boise State averages 30.8 points per game, ranking 42nd in the nation, while defensively, they allow 23.2 points per game, which is 55th. Boise State averages 430.4 total yards per game (240.6 passing and 189.8 rushing), while allowing 329.4 total yards per game (162.3 rushing and 167.1 passing).

Maddux Madsen leads Boise State with 1,994 passing yards with 59.6% completed passes and 15 touchdowns. Dylan Riley leads the team in rushing yards with 1,016, while Latrell Caples has a team-high 43 receptions for 515 receiving yards. Defensively, Ty Benefield has a team-high 92 total tackles (59 of them solo), while Braxton Fely leads the team in sacks, with 5.5, and Jeremiah Earby and A’Marion McCoy lead the team with 4 interceptions each.

UNLV Rebels Preview

UNLV has a 10-2 record this season and finished 1st in the MWC. They are coming off a 42-17 road win against Nevada. Offensively, UNLV averages 37.2 points per game, ranking 12th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 28.1 points per game, which is 89th. UNLV averages 463.3 total yards per game (258.6 passing and 204.7 rushing), while allowing 421.5 total yards per game (175.5 rushing and 246.0 passing).

Anthony Colandrea leads UNLV with 3,050 passing yards with 68.2% completed passes and 22 touchdowns. Jai’Den Thomas leads the team in rushing yards with 944, while Jaden Bradley has a team-high 51 receptions for 834 receiving yards. Defensively, Marsel McDuffie has a team-high 94 total tackles (45 of them solo), while Tunmise Adeleye leads the team in sacks, with 6, and Aamaris Brown and Laterrance Welch lead the team with 4 interceptions each.

UNLV Rebels @ Boise State Broncos Betting Trends: Conference Championships

Boise State Broncos Player Prop Facts

• Heading into the Conference Championships, Chris Marshall ranks 9th amongst qualified players for Yards Per Reception (19.5) this season.

UNLV Rebels Player Prop Facts

• Anthony Colandrea has recorded 250+ passing yards in five consecutive games (including postseason) – longest streak in the FBS, heading into the Conference Championships.

Matchup/League Facts

• Boise State ranks 8th among FBS teams for time of possession per game this season (33:21).
• Boise State ranks 11th among FBS teams for passing yards allowed per game this season (167.1).
• UNLV has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of 10 points or less of any FBS team this season (4).
• UNLV ranks 1st among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (13.8).

UNLV vs Boise State Prediction

In this UNLV vs Boise State Prediction, Boise State is coming as -3.5-point home favorites. UNLV finished the regular season with a better record than Boise, and both teams had identical home/away splits, with a 5-1 record. Both teams are coming into this matchup in good form, having won their last two and four games respectively, but Boise State is 1-3 against the spread in its last 4 games, while UNLV is 3-1 ATS in its last 4. Although this game looks more like a coinflip, Boise State has been dominating UNLV in recent years, having won their last 10 meetings, including a dominating 56-31 win this season. Take Boise State and lay the short number at home in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Boise State -3.5