Oct 4, 2025; South Bend, Indiana, USA; Boise State Broncos running back Dylan Riley (24) makes a catch against the Notre Dame Fighting Irish during the second half at Notre Dame Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Michael Caterina-Imagn Images
Michael Caterina-Imagn Images

UNLV vs Boise State Prediction 10/18/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

Pick details

UNLV (6-0) vs Boise State (4-2)

October 18, 2025 at 03:30 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Boise State -11.5 — Over/Under: +62.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The UNLV Rebels and Boise State Broncos meet Saturday in college football action at Albertsons Stadium. Here’s a UNLV vs Boise State Prediction. This article will include a UNLV vs Boise State Pick.

UNLV Rebels Betting Preview

The UNLV Rebels beat Wyoming and Air Force, and they play New Mexico next. The UNLV Rebels have won 7 straight games. Anthony Colandrea is completing 68.1 percent of his passes for 1,403 yards, 10 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. Jaden Bradley and Daejon Reynolds have combined for 730 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while Troy Omeire has 14 receptions.

The UNLV Rebels ground game is averaging 199.7 yards per contest, and Jai’Den Thomas leads the way with 577 yards and 6 touchdowns. Defensively, UNLV is allowing 29.7 points and 445 yards per game. Marsel McDuffie leads the UNLV Rebels with 45 tackles, Aamaris Brown has 2 sacks and Aamaris Brown has 4 interceptions.

Boise State Broncos Betting Preview

The Boise State Broncos lost to Notre Dame, beat New Mexico, and they play Nevada next. The Boise State Broncos have won 16 of their last 19 regular season games. Maddux Madsen is completing 61 percent of his passes for 1,570 yards, 11 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions. Ben Ford and Chris Marshall have combined for 643 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns, while Latrell Caples has 21 receptions.

The Boise State Broncos ground game is averaging 190.8 yards per contest, and Dylan Riley leads the way with 494 yards and 5 touchdowns. Defensively, Boise State is allowing 25.3 points and 330.5 yards per game. Ty Benefield leads the Boise State Broncos with 42 tackles, Braxton Fely has 4.5 sacks and A’Marion McCoy has interceptions.

Why the Boise State Broncos will win

  • Boise State has won each of its last 14 games against conference opponents.
  • UNLV has lost each of its last 12 October games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Boise State has covered the spread in each of its last six October games at Albertsons Stadium.
  • UNLV has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games against teams from Idaho.

Why the UNLV Rebels will win

  • UNLV has won each of its last 11 road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • UNLV has covered the spread in each of its last four road games against non-AP-ranked teams.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Boise State’s last four games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Four of UNLV’s last five road games have gone UNDER the total points line.

Boise State Broncos Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 8, Dylan Riley leads Boise State for touchdowns (6) this season.

UNLV Rebels Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 8, Jai’Den Thomas leads the Mountain West Conference for yards per carry (7.9) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Boise State ranks T9th among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (10.8).
  • Boise State ranks T127th among FBS teams for red zone percentage against this season (95.2).
  • UNLV ranks 4th among FBS teams for Q4 points per game this season (12.3).
  • UNLV ranks T6th among FBS teams for interceptions this season (9).

UNLV vs Boise State Prediction

Boise State is going to get the benefit of the doubt at home, especially when UNLV hasn’t played anybody yet and there’s major questions with that defense. Ranked 125th in total defense and 111th in scoring defense, UNLV could have a hard time against tougher competition. With that said, Boise State isn’t great defensively, as it has issues stopping the run at times and has allowed 25 or more points in 4 of their 6 games. Also, regardless of what you think of either team, we’re getting free points with an undefeated team, and UNLV has covered 9 of its last 13 games as a double-digit underdog. Give me UNLV.

Randy Chambers's Pick: UNLV +11.5

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