UL Monroe vs Texas State Prediction 11/22/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

In this article we will formulate a UL Monroe vs Texas State prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, November 22nd at UFCU Stadium in San Marcos, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 13 matchup. 

UL Monroe Warhawks Betting Preview

The UL Monroe Warhawks are 3-7 (1-5) this year after they lost to South Alabama by a score of 26-14 in their last game. UL Monroe led 14-0 after the first quarter and 14-7 at halftime, but they were outscored 19-0 in the second half for the loss. The Warhawks were out gained by a total of 362-154, went 1-9 on third downs, and tied the turnover battle at one in the game. Aidan Armenta went 10-19 for 82 yards and one interception, while Braylon McReynolds rushed 12 times for 52 yards and one score. Julian Nixon led the receivers with two catches for 31 yards in the loss. The ULM defense recorded one sack and six tackles for loss in the game. 

Prior to that game, UL Monroe lost to Old Dominion by a score of 31-6 and Southern Miss by a score of 49-21. The Warhawks have lost six games in a row and they are currently last in the Sun Belt West standings. UL Monroe has scored 15.8 points per game with 144.8 passing yards and 159.0 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 32.2 points against per game this season. Aidan Armenta has thrown for 1,152 yards, nine touchdowns, and eight interceptions, while Braylon McReynolds has rushed 101 times for 539 yards and three scores this year. 

Texas State Bobcats Betting Preview

The Texas State Bobcats are 4-6 (1-5) this season after they defeated Southern Miss by a score of 41-14 in their last game. Texas State led 27-0 at halftime and they cruised to the easy win the second half. The Bobcats out gained Southern Miss by a total of 449-391, went 5-11 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 3-0 in the game. Brad Jackson went 14-17 for 192 yards and one touchdown, while Lincoln Pare rushed 21 times for 118 yards and one score. Chris Dawn Jr led the receivers with five catches for 117 yards and one touchdown in the win. The Texas State defense recorded zero sacks and four tackles for loss in the game. 

Prior to that game, Texas State lost to Louisiana by a score of 42-39 and James Madison by a score of 52-20. The Bobcats have lost five of their last six games and they are currently tied for last in the Sun Belt West standings. Texas State has scored 35.3 points per game with 258.4 passing yards and 216.2 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 32.7 points against per game this season. Brad Jackson has thrown for 2,568 yards, 14 touchdowns, and six interceptions, while Lincoln Pare has rushed for 855 yards and 11 scores on 161 carries this season. 

Why the Texas State Bobcats will win

• Louisiana-Monroe has lost each of its last 12 November games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Texas State has won four of its last five games against Louisiana-Monroe.
• Louisiana-Monroe has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• The favorite has covered the spread in six of Louisiana-Monroe’s last seven games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Texas State’s last six November games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of Louisiana-Monroe’s last four games as a road underdog have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• Texas State has given up the largest 1st quarter lead to win a game this season – 21 points vs Troy.
• Texas State ranks 125th among FBS teams for points allowed per game this season (32.7).
• Louisiana-Monroe ranks 132nd among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (68.2).
• Louisiana-Monroe ranks 131st among FBS teams for points per game this season (15.8).

UL Monroe vs Texas State Prediction 

UL Monroe comes into this matchup trying to snap their lengthy losing streak, but their offense has scored 14 points or fewer in four of their last five games. The Warhawks have also allowed at least 31 points in three of their last four, so they have struggled on both sides of the ball. Texas State snapped their losing streak with a win over Southern Miss last week, but they have allowed at least 40 points in four of their last five games. I don’t trust either defense in this contest, but Texas State’s offense is miles ahead of UL Monroe’s. Take the Bobcats here.

David Racey is 128-108 (54%) in College Football this season and is one of the top College Football Handicappers on the site. Click here for his premium plays for the week!

David Racey's Pick: Texas State -17.5