UC Davis vs SMU Prediction 9/12/2026 Today’s College Football Picks

The UC Davis Aggies and the SMU Mustangs meet in week 2 college football action from Gerald J. Ford Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a UC Davis Aggies vs. SMU Mustangs Prediction.

UC Davis Aggies Recap

The UC Davis Aggies come into this game looking to add on totheir 49-17 win over San Diego last time out to improve to 2-0 on the year.

Aggies Looking For Big Upset To Stay Unbeaten

Treynor Cleeland threw for 294 yards, 5 TDs, and an interception on 22 of 31 passing, while Jackson Kollock added 12 passing yards on 2 of 2 passing. Matteo Perez led the ground attack with 123 rushing yards and a TD on 9 carries, while Jordan Fisher added 64 rushing yards and a score. Samuel Gbatu Jr. had a team-high 129 receiving yards and 2 TDs on 9 catches, while Fisher chipped in 4 catches for 64 yards and a receiving touchdown. Edward Khutsishvili and Tyler Hennessy also each caught a touchdown pass. On defense, Brayden Rosa led UC Davis with a team-high 6 total tackles, a tackle for loss, a pass deflection, and an interception, while Devin Huegel recorded 4 total tackles, a tackle for loss, a pass deflection, and the team’s only sack.

SMU Mustangs Recap

The SMU Mustangs come into this game looking to build on their season-opening win over Florida State by a final score of 27-24 to start the year at 1-0. After this game, SMU will head on the road for a game against Louisville.

Mustangs Looking For Tune-Up Win

Kevin Jennings threw for 430 yards, 3 TDs, and 2 interceptions on 26 of 36 passing while also adding 33 rushing yards. Kendrick Raphael led the ground game with 75 rushing yards on 12 carries while Dramekco Green added 43 yards on 13 carries. Yannick Smith had a team-high 107 receiving yards and a TD on 5 catches while Randy Pittman Jr. added 5 catches for 75 yards and a score. Jalen Cooper chipped in 4 catches for 71 yards and a touchdown while Jalen Hale caught 2 passes for 70 yards. On defense, Tyren Polley Jr. had a team-high 10 total tackles to lead SMU’s defense, while Jimmy Wyrick filled the stat sheet with 8 total tackles, a tackle for loss, a pass deflection, and a sack.

UC Davis Aggies @ SMU Mustangs Betting Trends: Week 2

Why the SMU Mustangs will win

• SMU has won each of its last seven home openers.
• SMU has covered the spread in eight of its last 10 home openers as a favorite.
• SMU has won the first half in each of its last 18 games as a favorite in Texas.
• SMU has won the first quarter in each of its last seven home games against non-AP-ranked teams.

Why the UC Davis Aggies will win

• SMU has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six games as an AP-ranked team.

Total Points Facts

• Seven of SMU’s last eight games in Texas have gone UNDER the total points line.

SMU Mustangs Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 2, Jalen Hale ranks T1st amongst qualified players for catch rate (100.0%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• One of SMU’s one games this season have been decided by a margin of seven points or less – equal-most amongst FBS teams.
• One of SMU’s one games this season have been decided by a margin of three points or less – equal-most amongst FBS teams.

UC Davis Aggies vs. SMU Mustangs Prediction

I’m on SMU here. This line feels kind of low, but I still think SMU is one of the better teams in the ACC this year and while UC Davis has looked good early on this year, this is still a tall task for the Aggies and I think SMU handles this one relatively easily. Give me SMU.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: SMU -29.5