Pick details
| MATCHUP | Troy Trojans | Missouri Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 2-0 | 2-0 |
| Spread | +27.5 -118 | -27.5 -102 |
| Moneyline | +1800 | -5000 |
| Total | Over 50.5 (-105) | Under 50.5 (-115) |
| Where | Memorial Stadium, Columbia, MO | |
| When | Saturday, September 19, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:00 PM EDT | |
| TV | SECN+ | |
Missouri Tigers Preview
Missouri has a 2-0 record this season and are coming off a 38-21 road win against Kansas. They will face Mississippi State and Florida next. Offensively, Missouri averages 46 points per game, ranking 25th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 17.5 points per game, which is 58th. Missouri averages 515.5 total yards per game (324.5 passing and 191 rushing), while allowing 226.5 total yards per game (85 rushing and 141.5 passing).
Austin Simmons leads Missouri with 544 passing yards with 75% completed passes and 7 touchdowns. Jamal Roberts leads the team in rushing yards with 172, while Donovan Olugbode has a team-high 13 receptions for 228 receiving yards. Defensively, Nicholas Rodriguez has a team-high 15 total tackles (8 of them solo), while Daeden Hopkins and Donta Simpson, Jr. lead the team with 1.5 sacks each.
Troy Trojans Preview
Troy has a 2-0 record this season and are coming off a 34-17 home win against Alabama State. They will face Utah State and Southern Miss next. Offensively, Troy averages 29 points per game, ranking 83rd in the nation, while defensively, they allow 19 points per game, which is 65th. Troy averages 384.5 total yards per game (183 passing and 201.5 rushing), while allowing 297 total yards per game (77 rushing and 220 passing).
Goose Crowder leads Troy with 366 passing yards with 51% completed passes and 4 touchdowns. Jaheim Merriweather leads the team in rushing yards with 149, while TK Keyes has a team-high 7 receptions for 167 receiving yards. Defensively, Keno Jones has a team-high 13 total tackles (7 of them solo), while Donnie Smith leads the team with 2 sacks.
Troy Trojans @ Missouri Tigers Betting Trends: Week 3
Why the Missouri Tigers will win
- Missouri has won each of its last 26 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Troy has lost each of its last six road games against AP-ranked teams.
- Missouri has covered the spread in 13 of its last 16 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Troy has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games against non-conference opponents.
- Missouri has won the first half in 23 of its last 24 games against non-conference opponents at Faurot Field at Memorial Stadium.
- Missouri has won the first quarter in 11 of its last 13 games against non-conference opponents at Faurot Field at Memorial Stadium.
Why the Troy Trojans will win
- Troy has won each of its last three games in September.
- Missouri has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five games as an AP-ranked team at Faurot Field at Memorial Stadium.
- The underdog has covered the spread in four of Troy’s last five games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Troy’s last eight games have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Six of Missouri’s last seven games against non-AP-ranked teams at Faurot Field at Memorial Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.
Missouri Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 3, Shaun Terry II ranks T1st amongst qualified players for catch rate (100.0%) this season.
Troy Trojans Player Prop Facts
- Donnie Smith has recorded at least one sack in five consecutive games – longest streak in the FBS, heading into Week 3.
Matchup/League Facts
- Missouri ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (0.0).
- Missouri ranks T1st among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage this season (100.0).
- One of Troy’s two games this season have been decided by a margin of three points or less – equal-most amongst FBS teams.
- Troy ranks T1st among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (100.0).
Troy vs Missouri Prediction
In this Troy vs Missouri Prediction, Missouri is coming as -27.5 home favorites. Both teams have been undefeated this season but Troy has failed to cover the spread in both wins. Missouri has been better both offensively and defensively and have a 28.5 point differential and have won their only home game this season by 40 points, while Troy will be tested on the road for the first time. In their only previous meeting back in 2019, Missouri dominated Troy and won 42-10, so take Missouri and lay the big number at home in this one.
