Toledo vs Eastern Michigan Prediction College Football Picks 11/2/24

Pick details

Eastern Michigan (5-3) vs Toledo (5-3)

November 2, 2024 at 12:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Eastern Michigan +8 / Toledo -8 — Over/Under: 53.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Toledo vs Eastern Michigan prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, November 2nd at Rynearson Stadium in Ypsilanti, Michigan. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 10 matchup. 

Toledo Rockets Betting Preview

The Toledo Rockets are 5-3 (2-2) this year after they lost to Bowling Green by a score of 41-26 in their last game. Toledo trailed 28-20 at halftime and 28-26 in the third quarter, but they allowed the last 13 points in the game for the loss. The Rockets outgained BGSU by a total of 422-402, lost the turnover battle 2-0, and went 6-14 on third down in the game. Tucker Gleason threw for 320 yards, two touchdowns, and two interceptions, while Jerjuan Newton caught nine passes for 164 yards and two scores. 

Toledo defeated NIU by a score of 13-6 in the game prior to Bowling Green, but they did lose to Buffalo by a score of 30-15 before that. The Toledo offense has scored 31 points per game with 262.6 passing yards and 112.9 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 21.6 points per game this season. The Rockets have gone 37.7% on third down and 11-20 on fourth down so far this season. Tucker Gleason has completed 62.7% of his passes for 1,645 yards, 15 touchdowns, and six interceptions, while Jerjuan Newton has caught 43 passes for 745 yards and 10 scores. 

Eastern Michigan Eagles Betting Preview

The Eastern Michigan Eagles are 5-3 (2-2) this season after they lost to Akron by a score of 25-21 in their last game. Eastern Michigan trailed 18-0 at halftime, but they took a 21-18 lead in the fourth, before allowing the game-winning touchdown late in the fourth. The Eagles outgained Akron by a total of 475-377, tied the turnover battle at one, and went 7-18 on third down in the game. Cole Snyder threw for 354 yards and two touchdowns, while Delbert Mimms III rushed for 58 yards and one score. 

Eastern Michigan defeated CMU by a score of 38-34 in the game prior to Akron but lost by 24 points against Miami (OH) before that. The EMU offense has scored 30.6 points per game with 244.1 passing yards and 142.9 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 26 points per game this season. The Eagles have gone 38.6% on third down and 13-24 on fourth down through eight games. Cole Snyder has completed 61.4% of his passes for 1,829 yards, nine touchdowns, and two interceptions, while Delbert Mimms III has rushed for 534 yards and seven scores.

Why Eastern Michigan will cover

  • The underdog has won each of Toledo’s last three games.
  • Toledo has lost three of its last four games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Toledo has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games as a favorite.
  • The underdog has covered the spread in each of Toledo’s last three games.

Why Toledo will cover

  • Toledo has won five of its last six November road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • The favorite has covered the spread in each of Eastern Michigan’s last three games at Rynearson Stadium.
  • Eastern Michigan has failed to cover the spread in six of its last eight home games in November.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Eastern Michigan’s last five games against conference opponents at Rynearson Stadium has gone OVER the total points line.
  • Five of Toledo’s last six games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Eastern Michigan ranks 14th among FBS teams for time of possession per game this season (32:13).
  • Eastern Michigan ranks T15th among FBS teams for 1st downs this season (184).
  • Toledo ranks 113th among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (90.6).
  • Toledo ranks 109th among FBS teams for time of possession per game this season (27:57).

Toledo vs Eastern Michigan Prediction

Eastern Michigan is coming off of a very disappointing loss to a bad Akron team last week, but they will look to bounce back at home here. The Eagles have a pretty decent passing attack, but their defense leaves a lot to be desired. Toledo has also lost two of their last three games and they have been very inconsistent through eight games this season. I think this Toledo offense will have a huge day in this matchup, but I also think Eastern will continue to find success through the air. Take the over here. 

David Racey's Pick: Over 53.5

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