Sep 13, 2025; Lubbock, Texas, USA;  Texas Tech Red Raiders quarterback Behren Morton (2) takes a snap in the second half against the Oregon State Beavers at Jones AT&T Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Michael C. Johnson-Imagn Images

Texas Tech vs Utah Prediction 9/20/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

Pick details

Texas Tech (3-0) vs Utah (3-0)

September 20, 2025 at 12:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Utah -3 — Over/Under: +58

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Texas Tech vs Utah prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, September 20th at Rice-Eccles Stadium in Salt Lake City, Utah. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 4 matchup. 

Texas Tech Red Raiders Betting Preview

The Texas Tech Red Raiders are 3-0 (0-0) this year after they defeated Oregon State by a score of 45-14 in their last game. Texas Tech led 14-0 after the first quarter and 28-0 at halftime, but they did allow 14 points in the fourth to lose the shutout. The Red Raiders out gained Oregon State by a total of 601-284, went 9-15 on third downs, and tied the turnover battle at two. Behren Morton went 23-35 for 464 yards, four touchdowns, and one interception, while Cameron Dickey rushed 17 times for 77 yards and one score. Coy Eakin led the receivers with six catches for 139 yards and one touchdown in the game. The Texas Tech defense recorded three sacks and six tackles for loss in the win. 

Texas Tech defeated Arkansas-Pine Bluff by a score of 67-7 in week one and Kent State by a score of 62-14 in week two. The Red Raiders are averaging 58.0 points per game with 383.7 passing yards and 219.0 rushing yards per game, while they are allowing 11.7 points against per game this season. Behren Morton has completed 70.4% of his passes for 923 yards, 11 touchdowns, and one interception, while Coy Eakin has caught 12 passes for 245 yards and three scores. Adam Hill is the leading rusher with 207 yards on 24 carries this season. 

Utah Utes Betting Preview

The Utah Utes are 3-0 (0-0) this season after they defeated Wyoming by a score of 31-6 last week. Utah only led 3-0 at halftime, but they scored 28 points in the second half to pull away for the cover. The Utes out gained Wyoming by a total of 541-229, went 9-15 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a margin of 2-1 in the game. Devon Dampier went 27-41 for 230 yards and two touchdowns, while also rushing for 86 yards on 13 carries. Wayshawn Parker rushed 10 times for 80 yards, while Ryan Davis caught 10 passes for 91 yards in the win. The Utah defense recorded two sacks and two tackles for loss in the victory. 

Utah defeated UCLA by a score of 43-10 in week one and Cal Poly by a score of 63-9 in week two. The Utes are averaging 45.7 points per game with 227.0 passing yards and 290.0 rushing yards per game, while they are allowing 8.3 points against per game this season. Devon Dampier has completed 73% of his passes for 628 yards and seven touchdowns, while also rushing for 198 yards and one touchdown on 33 carries. Wayshawn Parker has rushed 27 times for 192 yards and two scores, while Ryan Davis has caught 19 passes for 171 yards and one touchdown this year.

Why Utah will beat Texas Tech

Utah has won 11 of its last 12 home games in September.
Texas Tech has lost 35 of its last 41 games against AP-ranked teams.
Utah has covered the spread in six of its last seven games.
Texas Tech has failed to cover the spread in each of its last three road openers.

Total Points Facts

Ten of Utah’s last 12 games in September have gone UNDER the total points line.
Five of Texas Tech’s last six games against conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

Utah ranks T3rd among FBS teams for Q3 points per game this season (14.0).
Utah ranks 3rd among FBS teams for H2 points per game this season (25.3).
Texas Tech has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of 15+ points of any FBS team this season (3).
Texas Tech has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of 20+ points of any FBS team this season (3).

David Racey is 16-9 (64%) in his last 25 College Football plays this season. Click here for his premium plays for this week!

Texas Tech vs Utah Prediction 

Both of these teams come into this contest undefeated and ranked in the top 25, so this should be a great game. Neither team has been tested yet, so we don’t really know how they will respond in a close game, but we do know the Utah defense is very good. The Utes have a great rushing attack and like to control the ball, while Texas Tech slings it around and feasts on big plays. We saw some sloppy play from Utah last week in the first half, but I think their ground game will be the difference, as they will dominate time of possession and keep Morton on the sidelines. Take Utah at home.

David Racey's Pick: Utah -3

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