Oct 25, 2025; Lawrence, Kansas, USA; Kansas State Wildcats quarterback Avery Johnson (2) throws a pass against the Kansas Jayhawks during the first half of the game at David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Denny Medley-Imagn Images
Denny Medley-Imagn Images

Texas Tech vs Kansas State Prediction 11/1/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

Pick details

Texas Tech (7-1) vs Kansas State (4-4)

November 1, 2025 at 03:30 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Kansas State +7.5 — Over/Under: +51.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Texas Tech Red Raiders and the Kansas State Wildcats meet in week 10 college football action from Bill Snyder Family Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Kansas State Wildcats prediction.

Texas Tech Red Raiders Recap

The Texas Tech Red Raiders come into this game looking to add on to their 42-0 win over Oklahoma State last time out to sit at 7-1 this season. After this game, Texas Tech will head home for a game against BYU.

Red Raiders Looking To Add On To Shutout Win

Behren Morton has thrown for 1,501 yards, 13 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 68.4% passing while Will Hammond has thrown for 680 yards, 7 touchdowns and 3 interceptions so far this season. Cameron Dickey leads the Red Raiders in rushing with 678 rushing yards and 9 TDs and J’Koby Williams has 390 rushing yards and 4 TDs. Hammond also has 299 rushing yards with 5 TDs and Adam Hill has 212 rushing yards as well on the year. Caleb Douglas leads Texas Tech with 33 catches for 512 yards and 2 touchdowns while Coy Eakin has 455 receiving yards and 4 TDs. Reggie Virgil has 363 receiving yards, 32 catches and 5 touchdowns while Terrance Carter Jr. has 297 receiving yards and 5 TDs. On defense, Jacob Rodriguez leads the Red Raiders in tackles with 69 including 34 solo tackles and a pair of interceptions while Brice Pollock has a team-high 3 interceptions and David Bailey has a team-high 10.5 sacks. As a unit, Texas Tech’s defense has combined for 26 sacks and 8 interceptions so far this season.

Kansas State Wildcats Recap

The Kansas State Wildcats come into this game looking to add on to their 42-17 win over Kansas last time out to sit at 4-4 this season. After this game, Kansas State will head on the road for a game against Oklahoma State.

Wildcats Looking To Build On Rivalry Win over Jayhawks

Avery Johnson has thrown for 1,792 yards, 15 touchdowns and 2 interceptions on 62.9% passing while also rushing for 255 yards and 5 touchdowns. Dylan Edwards has 205 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns while Joe Jackson has a team-high 382 rushing yards and a touchdown as well. Jayce Brown leads Kansas State with 36 catches for 577 yards and 4 touchdowns. Jaron Tibbs has 32 grabs for 403 yards and 3 touchdowns while Garrett Oakley has 25 catches for 271 yards and 4 touchdowns. Austin Romaine leads Kansas State’s defense with 55 total tackles including 34 solo tackles while Tobi Osunsanmi has a team-high 4 sacks. Cody Stufflebean also has 3 sacks while Kansas State’s defense as a whole has combined for 18 sacks and 8 interceptions so far this season.

Texas Tech Red Raiders @ Kansas State Wildcats Betting Trends: Week 10

Why the Kansas State Wildcats will win

  • Kansas State has won each of its last eight games against Texas Tech.
  • Texas Tech has lost three of its last four games as a favorite in Kansas.
  • The underdog has covered the spread in eight of Kansas State’s last nine games.
  • Texas Tech has failed to cover the spread in each of its last three games at Bill Snyder Family Stadium.
  • Kansas State has won the first half in 12 of its last 13 games against conference opponents at Bill Snyder Family Stadium.

Why the Texas Tech Red Raiders will win

  • Texas Tech has won each of its last nine November games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Kansas State has lost each of its last six November games against AP-ranked teams.
  • Texas Tech has covered the spread in seven of its last eight games.
  • Kansas State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four November games against AP-ranked teams.
  • Texas Tech has won the first quarter in eight of its last nine games against conference opponents.
  • Texas Tech has won the first half in seven of its last eight games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Kansas State’s last seven games as an underdog in Kansas have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Five of Texas Tech’s last six games have gone UNDER the total points line.

Kansas State Wildcats Player Prop Facts

  • Avery Johnson has recorded a 120.0+ passer rating in two consecutive games – equal-longest streak in the FBS.

Texas Tech Red Raiders Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 10, David Bailey ranks 1st amongst FBS players for sacks (10.5) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Four of Kansas State’s eight games this season have been decided by a margin of three points or less – equal-most amongst FBS teams.
  • Kansas State has won the third quarter in each of its last seven games – longest active streak in the FBS.
  • Texas Tech has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of 15+ points of any FBS team this season (5).
  • Texas Tech has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of 20+ points of any FBS team this season (5).

Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Kansas State Wildcats Prediction

I’m on Texas Tech here. I just think that Kansas State could endure a bit of a letdown here after a big rivalry win over Kansas and Texas Tech comes in off a bit of a bye week after a live practice against Oklahoma State and I think that the Red Raiders are a dangerous team overall this season right now and in a potential playoff run. I’ll lay it with Texas Tech on the road here.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Texas Tech -7.5

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