Texas Tech vs Houston Prediction 10/4/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

The Texas Tech Red Raiders and Houston Cougars meet Saturday in college football action at TDECU Stadium. Here’s a Texas Tech vs Houston Prediction. This article will include a Texas Tech vs Houston Pick.

Texas Tech Red Raiders Betting Preview

The Texas Tech Red Raiders beat Oregon State and Utah, and they play Kansas next. Texas Tech has won 6 straight regular season games. Behren Morton is completing 69 percent of his passes for 1,065 yards, 11 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Coy Eakin and Terrance Carter Jr. have combined for 503 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns, while Caleb Douglas has 11 receptions.

The Texas Tech Red Raiders ground game is averaging 204.5 yards per contest, and Cameron Dickey leads the way with 232 yards and 6 touchdowns. Defensively, Texas Tech is allowing 11.3 points and 238.8 yards per game. Jacob Rodriguez leads the Texas Tech Red Raiders with 28 tackles, David Bailey has 3.5 sacks and Brice Pollock has 3 interceptions.

Houston Cougars Betting Preview

The Houston Cougars beat Colorado and Oregon State, and they play Oklahoma State next. The Houston Cougars have won 4 straight games. Conner Weigman is completing 61.3 percent of his passes for 839 yards, 6 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Stephon Johnson and Tanner Koziol have combined for 469 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while Amare Thomas has 14 receptions.

The Houston Cougars ground game is averaging 171.5 yards per contest, and Dean Connors leads the way with 324 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Houston is allowing 13.3 points and 265.5 yards per game. Carlos Allen Jr. leads the Houston Cougars with 30 tackles, Corey Platt Jr. has 2.5 sacks and C.J. Douglas has 1 interception.

Texas Tech Red Raiders @ Houston Cougars Betting Trends: Week 6

Why the Houston Cougars will win

• Texas Tech has lost four of its last five October games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Houston has won three of its last four October games as a home underdog.
• Houston has covered the spread in six of its last seven games against teams from Texas.
• Texas Tech has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five October games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.

Why the Texas Tech Red Raiders will win

• Houston has lost each of its last six games against top-15 AP-ranked teams.
• Texas Tech has won each of its last four games.
• Texas Tech has covered the spread in each of its last four games.
• Houston has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four games after coming off overtime.

Total Points Facts

• Seven of Houston’s last eight games at TDECU Stadium have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Seven of Texas Tech’s last eight games as a favorite have gone OVER the total points line.

Houston Cougars Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 6, Stephon Johnson leads the league for yards per reception (29.4) this season.

Texas Tech Red Raiders Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 6, Brice Pollock leads the Big 12 Conference for interceptions (3) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Houston ranks T8th among FBS teams for Q4 points per game this season (12.0).
• Houston ranks 10th among FBS teams for H2 opponent points per game this season (5.5).
• Texas Tech has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of 25+ points of any FBS team this season (3).
• Texas Tech has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of 30+ points of any FBS team this season (3).

Texas Tech vs Houston Prediction

Texas Tech has looked fantastic through 4 games with an offense and defense that’s top-10 in scoring. Up to this point, Texas Tech looks like a playoff team. However, let’s pump the brakes just a bit, as Houston has held its own as well, and while the offense has a ways to go, this is a legit defense that sets the tone with its physicality. Weigman is also playing at a high level, and you know he’ll be up for this one, as the Texas A&M transfer gets a chance to stick it to another Texas school. I get Texas Tech is rolling and has had an extra week to prepare, but I’m grabbing the points with Houston in what should be a fun game.