Texas Tech vs Arizona Prediction College Football Picks 10/5/24

Pick details

Arizona (3-1) vs Texas Tech (4-1)

October 5, 2024 at 11:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Arizona -6 / Texas Tech +6 — Over/Under: 61.5

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The Texas Tech Red Raiders and the Arizona Wildcats meet in week 6 college football action from Arizona Stadium on Saturday night. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Texas Tech vs. Arizona prediction.

Texas Tech Recap

The Texas Tech Red Raiders will look to add to their current three-game win streak, sitting at 4-1 on the year after a 44-41 win over Cincinnati last time out. After this game, the Red Raiders will head home for a date with the Baylor Bears in Lubbock.

Red Raiders Rolling

Behren Morton has thrown for 1,426 yards, 14 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions on 63.5% passing while Tahj Brooks has rushed for 551 yards and 4 touchdowns to lead Texas Tech on the ground. Josh Kelly has a team-high 39 receptions for 487 yards and 3 touchdowns while Coy Eakin has 17 receptions for 307 yards and 5 TDs and Caleb Douglas has 16 grabs for 204 yards as well. Two more Red Raiders have 100+ receiving yards also this season. On defense, Ben Robert has a team-high 40 total tackles while Jacob Rodriguez has 39 total tackles including a team-high 27 solo tackles. As a unit, Texas Tech has combined for 4 sacks and 6 interceptions defensively this season.

Why the Texas Tech Red Raiders will win

  • Texas Tech has won each of its last five games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Arizona has lost eight of its last nine October games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Texas Tech has covered the spread in each of its last five games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Arizona has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.

Arizona Recap

The Arizona Wildcats come into this game looking to add on to a 23-10 win over Utah last time out, improving to 3-1 on the year. After this game, the Wildcats will head out to Provo for a date with the BYU and then will meet Colorado and West Virginia.

Wildcats Relying On Fifita & Macmillan

Noah Fifita has thrown for 1,060 yards, 7 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions on 63.1% passing while Quali Conley has a team-high 322 rushing yards with 4 TDs. Tetairoa McMillan leads Arizona’s receiving group with 29 receptions for 503 yards and 4 touchdowns, and Keyan Burnett’s chipped in 125 receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Jacob Manu has a team-high 35 total tackles. As a unit, Arizona’s defense has combined for 9 sacks and 4 interceptions so far this season.

Why the Arizona Wildcats will win

  • Arizona has won each of its last 11 games as a favorite.
  • Texas Tech has lost four of its last five road games in October.
  • Arizona has covered the spread in eight of its last nine games in October.
  • Texas Tech has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five October games as an underdog.

Texas Tech vs. Arizona Recap

I’m leaning towards Texas Tech here. I get why Arizona would be favored at home, but it’s a matter of which Arizona team is going to show up here. The one that gave up points in bunches to New Mexico and Kansas State? Or the one that stifled Northern Arizona and Utah in Rice-Eccles? The thing for me here is that Texas Tech has a fantastic offense that can go shot for shot with Arizona if the Wildcats start putting up big plays. I think it’s going to be a track meet and having the points in my back pocket is where I’d like to be. Give me Texas Tech.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Texas Tech +6

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