Texas State vs Marshall Prediction 10/18/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

The Texas State Bobcats and the Marshall Thundering Herd meet in week 8 college football action from Joan C. Henderson Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Texas State Bobcats vs. Marshall Thundering Herd prediction.

Texas State Bobcats Recap

The Texas State Bobcats come into this game looking to bounce back from their 48-41 loss at the hands of Troy last time out to drop to 3-3 this season. After this game, Texas State will take on James Madison at home.

Bobcats Drop Back-To-Back Games

Brad Jackson has thrown for 1,342 yards, 7 touchdowns and an interception on 70% passing while Lincoln Pare leads the Bobcats in rushing with 581 rushing yards and 8 touchdowns so far this season. Jackson has 336 rushing yards and 7 touchdowns while Greg Burrell has 303 rushing yards and 3 TDs as well this season. Beau Sparks has a team-high 38 grabs for 506 yards and 5 touchdowns while Chris Dawn Jr. has 325 receiving yards. Kylen Evans also has 182 receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Treylin Payne leads the Bobcats with 42 total tackles along with a pair of sacks while Kalil Alexander has a team-high 3 sacks. As a unit, Texas State’s defense has combined for 17 sacks and an interception so far this season. 

Marshall Thundering Herd Recap

The Marshall Thundering Herd come into this game looking to build on their 48-24 win over Old Dominion last time out to sit at 3-3 this season. After this game, Marshall will head on the road for a game against Coastal Carolina.

Herd Looking To Add On To Big Win

Carlos Del Rio-Wilson has thrown for 856 yards and 11 touchdowns on 76.4% passing while also rushing for 259 yards and 4 TDs. Michael Allen has a team-high 310 rushing yards and 3 TDs while Demarcus Lacey has a team-high 28 catches for 396 yards and 4 touchdowns. Toby Payne and Xayvion Turner-Bradshaw each have 100+ receiving yards as well so far this season. On defense, Kerion Martin has a team-high 38 total tackles while Cam Smith has a team-high 19 solo tackles and a pair of sacks. Boogie Trotter has a team-high 4 interceptions while Braydin Ward has a team-high 3 sacks. Jamaal Whyce Jr. also has 2.5 sacks as well this season. As a unit, Marshall has combined for 17 sacks and 8 interceptions so far this season.

Texas State Bobcats @ Marshall Thundering Herd Betting Trends: Week 8

Why the Marshall Thundering Herd will win

• Marshall has won each of its last seven home games against conference opponents.
• Texas State has lost each of its last four October games as a favorite.
• Marshall has covered the spread in each of its last seven games as an underdog.
• Texas State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four games.
• Marshall has won the first half in five of its last six home games against conference opponents.

Why the Texas State Bobcats will win

• Texas State has covered the spread in three of its last four games after coming off overtime.
• Marshall has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four October games as an underdog.

Total Points Facts

• Thirteen of Texas State’s last 14 October road games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Six of Marshall’s last seven home games against conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.

Marshall Thundering Herd Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 8, Carlos Del Rio-Wilson ranks 1st amongst qualified players for passer rating (145.4) this season.

Texas State Bobcats Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 8, Lincoln Pare ranks T1st amongst qualified players for catch rate (100.0%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Marshall ranks T12th among FBS teams for interceptions this season (8).
• Marshall ranks T116th among FBS teams for H2 opponent points per game this season (14.7).
• Texas State has given up the largest 2nd quarter lead to win a game this season – 14 points vs Troy.
• Texas State has given up the largest 1st quarter lead to win a game this season – 21 points vs Troy.

Texas State Bobcats vs. Marshall Thundering Herd Prediction

I’m on the over in this one. This is a Marshall team that’s really found their chops offensively in recent games, scoring 38+ in each of their last four games and I think they can do more of the same against the 114th-ranked scoring defense of Texas State that’s allowing 29.8 PPG so far this season. That’s the same number that Marshall’s allowing but one could argue Texas State has the far more consistent and explosive offense. Give me the over here.