Texas State vs Arizona State Prediction 9/13/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

In this article we will formulate a Texas State vs Arizona State prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, September 13th at Mountain America Stadium in Tempe, Arizona. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 3 matchup. 

Texas State Bobcats Betting Preview

The Texas State Bobcats are 2-0 this year after they defeated UTSA by a score of 43-36 in week two. Texas State led just 2-0 after the first quarter, which was extended to 19-14 at the half. The Bobcats blew a pair of leads in the second half, but scored with about 10 minutes left and hung on for the win. Texas State was out gained by a total of 464-454, went 6-16 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 1-0 in the game. Brad Jackson went 12-20 for 286 yards, one touchdown, and one interception in the win, while Lincoln Pare rushed for 71 yards and one score on 21 carries. Beau Sparks caught five passes for 155 yards and one touchdown, while Chris Dawn Jr caught two passes for 109 yards. 

Texas State started the season with a 52-27 win over Eastern Michigan in week one. The Bobcats are averaging 47.5 points per game with 250.0 passing yards and 280 rushing yards per game, while they are allowing 31.5 points against per game this season. Brad Jackson has completed 65.2% of his passes for 500 yards, five touchdowns, and one interception, while Beau Sparks has caught 12 passes for 237 yards and five scores this year. Lincoln Pare has rushed 33 times for 238 yards and two touchdowns to lead the running backs. 

Arizona State Sun Devils Betting Preview

The Arizona State Sun Devils are 1-1 this season after they lost to Mississippi State by a score of 24-20 last week. Arizona State trailed 10-0 after the first quarter and 17-3 at the half. The Sun Devils managed to dominate the second half and took a 20-17 lead with about 90 seconds left, before allowing a 58 yard touchdown pass for the loss. ASU was out gained by a total of 345-333, went 3-14 on third down conversions, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 2-0 in the game. Sam Leavitt went 10-22 for 82 yards, one touchdown, and two interceptions, while Jordyn Tyson caught six passes for 68 yards and one score in the loss. Raleek Brown rushed 18 times for 110 yards, while Kanye Udoh carried the ball 23 times for 105 yards and one score. 

Arizona State defeated Northern Arizona by a score of 38-19 in week one to start the year. The Sun Devils are averaging 29 points per game with 169.5 passing yards and 226 rushing yards per game, while they are allowing 21.5 points against per game this season. Sam Leavitt has completed 57.4% of his passes for 339 yards, three touchdowns, and three interceptions, while Jordyn Tyson has caught 18 passes for 209 yards and three scores this year. Raleek Brown has led the rushing attack with 23 carries for 148 yards and one touchdown this season. 

Why Arizona State will beat Texas State

Arizona State has won each of its last seven games at Mountain America Stadium.
Arizona State has covered the spread in six of its last seven games at Mountain America Stadium.

Why Texas State will beat Arizona State

Texas State has won each of its last four games against non-AP-ranked teams.
Arizona State has lost five of its last six September games at Mountain America Stadium.
The underdog has covered the spread in each of Arizona State’s last four games.
Arizona State has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four September home games against non-AP-ranked teams.

Total Points Facts

Seven of Arizona State’s last eight September games as a favorite have gone UNDER the total points line.
Six of Texas State’s last seven games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

Arizona State ranks T119th among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (3.0).
Arizona State ranks T21st among FBS teams for Q3 points per game this season (10.5).
Texas State ranks T4th among FBS teams for H2 points per game this season (26.0).
Texas State ranks 7th among FBS teams for rushing yards per game this season (280.0).

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Texas State vs Arizona State Prediction 

These two teams played a very entertaining game last season at Texas State, but ASU will have the home field advantage here. The Sun Devils are coming off of a disappointing loss at Mississippi State and will have to deal with a very good Texas State squad in this one. The Bobcats have had a ton of success on the ground this year and I think they will find more success here. I expect this game to be very high scoring and I also think Leavitt will play much better against this Texas State defense. Take the over in this contest.