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TCU vs BYU Prediction 11/15/2025 Today’s College Football Picks
Pick details
| MATCHUP | TCU Horned Frogs | BYU Cougars |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 6-3 | 8-1 |
| Spread | +3.5 -112 | -3.5 -108 |
| Moneyline | +140 | -166 |
| Total | Over 51.5 (-105) | Under 51.5 (-115) |
| Where | LaVell Edwards Stadium, Provo, UT | |
| When | Saturday, November 15, 2025 | |
| Time | 10:15 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN | |
TCU Horned Frogs Betting Preview
The TCU Horned Frogs lost to Iowa State, beat West Virginia, and they play Houston next. The TCU Horned Frogs have split their last 6 games. Josh Hoover is completing 65.4 percent of his passes for 2,690 yards, 23 touchdowns, and 8 interceptions. Eric McAlistar and Jordan Dwyer have combined for 1,436 receiving yards and 12 touchdowns, while Joseph Manjack IV has 24 receptions.
The TCU Horned Frogs ground game is averaging 122.8 yards per contest, and Kevorian Barnes leads the way with 443 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, TCU is allowing 24.6 points and 366.2 yards per game. Kaleb Elarms-Orr leads the TCU Horned Frogs with 92 tackles, Devean Deal has 2.5 sacks and Jamel Johnson has 4 interceptions.
BYU Cougars Betting Preview
The BYU Cougars beat Iowa State, lost to Texas Tech, and they play Cincinnati next. BYU has won 10 of its last 11 games. Bear Bachmeier is completing 62.3 percent of his passes for 1,881 yards, 12 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Chase Roberts and Parker Kingston have combined for 1,211 receiving yards and 9 touchdowns, while Carsen Ryan has 24 receptions.
The BYU Cougars ground game is averaging 200 yards per contest, and LJ Martin leads the way with 824 yards and 5 touchdowns. Defensively, BYU is allowing 18.3 points and 323.8 yards per game. Faletau Satuala leads the BYU Cougars with 59 tackles, Jack Kelly has 7 sacks and Evan Johnson has 3 interceptions.
Why the BYU Cougars will win
- BYU has won 16 of its last 17 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- TCU has lost seven of its last eight November road games against top-15 AP-ranked teams.
- TCU has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five road games against conference opponents.
- BYU has covered the spread in three of its last four games.
Why the TCU Horned Frogs will win
- TCU has won three of its last four games in November.
- BYU has lost three of its last four home games in November.
- BYU has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five November games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- TCU has covered the spread in three of its last four games in November.
Total Points Facts
- Five of BYU’s last six November home games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
- Fourteen of TCU’s last 17 games against top-15 AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
BYU Cougars Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 12, LJ Martin is one of only 16 players in the FBS to record 100+ rushing yards in three or more consecutive games this season.
TCU Horned Frogs Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 12, Josh Hoover ranks T6th amongst FBS players for passing touchdowns (23) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- BYU ranks 11th among FBS teams for average point differential in second quarters this season (+6.3).
- BYU ranks T11th among FBS teams for red zone percentage against this season (72.7).
- TCU ranks T13th among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (2.6).
- TCU ranks T123rd among FBS teams for H2 opponent points per game this season (15.4).
TCU vs BYU Prediction
There’s a world where TCU can win this game outright, as the offense can get rolling and BYU isn’t built to respond to deficits, as we saw last week. However, TCU has come up short in three of its bigger games this season, and that defense is suspect at best. BYU has played its best ball at home where its unbeaten and the defense should be eager to respond after last week’s efforts. We’re not being asked to lay anything crazy. This could be an ugly, slow paced game, but I’ll take BYU by a touchdown.
