Stanford vs Hawai’i Prediction 8/23/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Stanford vs Hawaii Prediction for this College Football Week 0 game on Saturday, August 23rd at the Aviva Stadium. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.

Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Preview

Hawaii finished last season with a 5-7 overall record, having a 3-4 conference record, and a 4-3 home record, finishing on the 8th place of the Mountain West conference. They were 6-5-1 against the spread and 5-7 in over/under. Offensively last season, the Rainbow Warriors averaged 19.7 points per game, which ranked 116th in the nation. Defensively, they allowed 29.1 points per game, which ranked 85th in the nation.

Hawaii averaged 365.8 total yards per game last season, with 97.7 average rushing yards and 268.2 average passing yards per game. They allowed 376.9 total yards per game, 165.7 of them rushing and 211.2 passing yards per game.

Brayden Schager led the Rainbow Warriors with 233/403 completed passes and 2591 total passing yards. He also added 259 rushing yards and had 6 touchdowns. Landon Sims led the team in rushing yards, with 351 and had one touchdown, while Nick Cenacle had a team-high 63 caught passes for 721 receiving yards, adding 6 touchdowns. Defensively, Jamih Otis led the team with 55 total tackles, 39 of them solo, and had 2 total sacks.

Stanford Cardinal Preview

Stanford finished last season with a 3-9 overall record, having a 2-6 conference record, and a 1-5 road record, finishing on the second to last place of the ACC. They were 4-7-1 against the spread and 5-7 in over/under. Offensively last season, the Cardinal had 21.2 points per game last season, which ranked 109th in the nation. Defensively, they allowed 36.1 points per game, which ranked 122nd in the nation.

Stanford averaged 323.9 total yards per game last season, with 132.7 average rushing yards and 191.2 average passing yards per game. They allowed 413.5 total yards per game, 132.9 of them rushing and 280.6 passing yards per game.

Ashton Daniels led the Cardinal with 170/271 completed passes and a team-high 1700 total passing yards. He also led the team in rushing yards, with 669 and had 3 touchdowns. Elic Ayomanor led the team with 63 caught passes for 831 receiving yards, adding 6 total touchdowns. Defensively, Gaethan Bernadel had a team-high 86 total tackles, 33 of them solo, and one sack.

Why the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors will win

• Hawaii has won each of its last 13 games as a home favorite.
• Stanford has lost eight of its last nine games.
• Hawaii has covered the spread in seven of its last eight home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Stanford has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games against non-conference opponents.
• Hawaii has won the first quarter in four of its last five home games against non-conference opponents.
• Hawaii has won the first half in each of its last three home games against non-conference opponents.

Why the Stanford Cardinal will win

• Hawaii has lost nine of its last 10 games against teams from California.
• The underdog has won three of Hawaii’s last four games.
• Hawaii has failed to cover the spread in 10 of its last 11 games as a favorite against teams from California.
• Stanford has covered the spread in each of its last five August games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Stanford has won the first quarter in four of its last five road games against non-conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Hawaii’s last eight games against non-conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Four of Stanford’s last five games against non-conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• Hawaii ranked 133rd among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage against last season (77.8).
• Hawaii ranked 128th among FBS teams for Q2 points per game last season (4.2).
• Stanford have had suffered the equal-most road losses by a margin of three points or less of any FBS team last season (2).
• Five of Stanford’s 12 games last season have been decided by a margin of three points or less – equal-most amongst FBS teams.

Stanford vs Hawaii Prediction

In their only previous meeting back in 2023, Stanford won 37-24 in Hawaii, covering the -2.5-point spread, as the game went over the 55-point total.

In this Stanford vs Hawaii Prediction, Hawaii is coming as -2.5-point home favorites. Stanford was terrible on the road last season, but they were better than Hawaii both offensively and defensively. On the flip side, Hawaii had more total yards, and they also had fewer yards against as well. It is hard to back a road team in College Sports, especially when this is their season opener, and Stanford had to travel to Hawaii as well. The value here lies with the home team, so take the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors to win and cover the spread at home in this one.