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San Jose State vs Fresno State Prediction College Football Picks 10/26/24
Pick details
Fresno State (4-3) vs San Jose State (5-2)
October 26, 2024 at 08:00 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Fresno State -5.5 / San Jose State +5.5 — Over/Under: 55.5
The San Jose State Spartans and Fresno State Bulldogs meet Saturday in week 9 college football action at Valley Children’s Stadium. Here’s a San Jose State vs Fresno State Prediction. This article will include a San Jose State vs Fresno State Pick.
San Jose State Spartans Betting Preview
The San Jose State Spartans lost to Colorado State, beat Wyoming, and they play Oregon State next. San Jose State has split its last 8 road games. Emmett Brown is completing 59.2 percent of his passes for 1,555 yards, 16 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Nick Nash and Justin Lockhart have combined for 1,436 receiving yards and 14 touchdowns, while TreyShun Hurry has 13 receptions.
The San Jose State Spartans ground game is averaging 97.4 yards per contest, and Floyd Chalk IV leads the way with 425 yards and 8 touchdowns. Defensively, San Jose State is allowing 24.4 points and 372.7 yards per game. Jordan Pollard leads the San Jose State Spartans with 67 tackles, Jordan Cobbs has 2 sacks and Robert Rahimi has 3 interceptions.
Fresno State Bulldogs Betting Preview
The Fresno State Bulldogs lost to Washington State, beat Nevada, and they play Hawaii next. The Fresno State Bulldogs have won 7 of their last 9 home games. Mikey Keene is completing 66.4 percent of his passes for 1,766 yards, 8 touchdowns, and 9 interceptions. Mac Dalena and Raylen Sharpe have combined for 943 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while Jalen Moss has 26 receptions.
The Fresno State Bulldogs ground game is averaging 116 yards per contest, and Elijah Gilliam leads the way with 361 yards and 5 touchdowns. Defensively, Fresno State is allowing 26.6 points and 343 yards per game. Tuasivi Nomura leads the Fresno State Bulldogs with 56 tackles, Phoenix Jackson has 3 sacks and Cam Lockridge has 3 interceptions.
Why the San Jose State Spartans will win
- San Jose State has won five of its last six games in October.
- Fresno State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six games in October.
- San Jose State has covered the spread in five of its last six road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
Total Points Facts
- Four of San Jose State’s last five October games as a road underdog against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
- Four of Fresno State’s last five home games against conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Fresno State ranks T13th among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage against this season (33.3).
- Fresno State ranks T118th among FBS teams for Q4 points per game this season (4.9).
- San Jose State ranks 126th among FBS teams for rushing yards per game this season (97.4).
- San Jose State ranks 10th among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (95.7).
San Jose State vs Fresno State Prediction
I understand Fresno State is going to get love because it’s at home, but I’m not sure if the Bulldogs are this much better of a team. Fresno State is also 3-7-1 ATS in its last 11 games as a favorite. San Jose State has the better offense and has been competitive on the road, which includes hanging with Colorado State and Washington State. San Jose State is 4-2-1 ATS in its last 7 games as an underdog. I’ll take a shot with San Jose State and the points in a game the Spartans could win outright.Â
