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New Mexico vs Colorado State Prediction College Football Picks 10/26/24
Pick details
Colorado State (4-3) vs New Mexico (3-4)
October 26, 2024 at 05:00 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Colorado State -6.5 / New Mexico +6.5 — Over/Under: 65.5
The New Mexico Lobos and Colorado State Rams meet Saturday in week 9 college football action at Canvas Stadium. Here’s a New Mexico vs Colorado State Prediction. This article will include a New Mexico vs Colorado State Pick.
New Mexico Lobos Betting Preview
The New Mexico Lobos beat Air Force and Utah State, and they play Wyoming next. New Mexico has won 2 straight road games. Devon Dampier is completing 59 percent of his passes for 1,760 yards, 9 touchdowns, and 9 interceptions. Luke Wysong and Ryan Davis have combined for 1,030 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Nic Trujillo has 13 receptions.
The New Mexico Lobos ground game is averaging 218.9 yards per contest, and Dampier leads the way with 487 yards and 10 touchdowns. Defensively, New Mexico is allowing 43 points and 499 yards per game. Christian Ellis leads the New Mexico Lobos with 61 tackles, Jayden Wilson has 2 sacks and Dimitri Johnson has 1 interception.
Colorado State Rams Betting Preview
The Colorado State Rams beat San Jose State and Air Force and play Nevada next. Colorado State has won 5 of its last 6 home games. Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi is completing 62.6 percent of his passes for 1,312 yards, 6 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions. Tory Horton and Caleb Goodie have combined for 564 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while Armani Winfield has 18 receptions.
The Colorado State Rams ground game is averaging 180.6 yards per contest, and Avery Morrow leads the way with 622 yards and 6 touchdowns. Defensively, Colorado State is allowing 27.1 points and 397.1 yards per game. Buom Jock leads the Colorado State Rams with 62 tackles, Gabe Kirschke has 3.5 sacks and Chase Wilson has 1 interception.
Why the Colorado State Rams will win
- The favorite has won each of New Mexico’s last eight games.
- New Mexico has lost 42 of its last 49 games against conference opponents.
- Colorado State has covered the spread in seven of its last eight games as a favorite against New Mexico.
- New Mexico has failed to cover the spread in 11 of its last 14 October games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
Total Points Facts
- Each of New Mexico’s last six games in October has gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the last five games between New Mexico and Colorado State has gone UNDER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Colorado State ranks T22nd among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (3.0).
- Colorado State ranks 113th among FBS teams for passing yards allowed per game this season (257.3).
- New Mexico ranks 132nd among FBS teams for points allowed per game this season (43.0).
- New Mexico ranks 132nd among FBS teams for yards allowed per game this season (499.0).
New Mexico vs Colorado State Prediction
I considered the New Mexico Lobos and the points because they are 5-2 ATS on the season, but they’re also the worst defensive team in college football. New Mexico is 132nd in total defense, rush defense, and scoring defense. I can’t get behind that. The Colorado State Rams have offensive talent, and they have covered 4 straight games as well, 3 straight as a favorite. We’re laying less than a full touchdown. Give me Colorado State at home.