San Diego State vs Utah State Prediction College Football Picks 11/23/24

Pick details

Utah State (3-7) vs San Diego State (3-7)

November 23, 2024 at 03:30 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Utah State -4.5 / San Diego State +4.5 — Over/Under: 63.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The San Diego State Aztecs and the Utah State Aggies meet Saturday in college football action from Maverik Stadium. Here’s a San Diego State vs Utah State prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best San Diego State vs Utah State pick. We will examine:

The San Diego State Aztecs’ recent form and player performance

The Utah State Aggies’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the San Diego State Aztecs

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Utah State Aggies

Recent betting trends in games played between San Diego State and Utah State

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the San Diego State vs Utah State game

San Diego State Aztecs Betting Preview

The Aztecs went just 1-4 out of the gate this year, falling to Oregon State, California, and Central Michigan in that stretch. San Diego State would beat Hawaii and Wyoming in the next pair before losses to Washington State, Boise State, and New Mexico.

In last weekend’s matchup with UNLV, the Aztecs were down 28-6 by halftime, giving up points in every quarter on the way to a 41-20 loss. QB Danny O’Neil threw for 162 yards, two TDs, and two interceptions alongside a rush TD. Marquez Cooper ran 26 times for 97 yards.

Utah State Aggies Betting Preview

Over on the Aggies’ side, they beat Robert Morris in their opener. Losses to USC, Utah, Temple, Boise State, UNLV, and New Mexico came in succession over the next six though. After a win over Wyoming, Utah State fell again to Washington State.

Matched up against Hawaii on Saturday, the Aggies didn’t have too many issues. Utah State put up double-digit points in three of four quarters in a 55-10 win. QB Spencer Petras had 255 yards, two scores, and two picks. Rahsul Faison led the rush on 20 carries for 191 yards and two TDs of his own.

Why the Utah State Aggies will win

  • San Diego State has lost each of its last eight November games as a road underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Utah State has won each of its last seven November games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Utah State has covered the spread in eight of its last 10 home games against conference opponents.

Why the San Diego State Aztecs will win

  • Utah State has lost three of its last four games at Merlin Olsen Field at Maverik Stadium.
  • Utah State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five games as a favorite.
  • San Diego State has covered the spread in each of its last four games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.

Total Points Facts

  • Seven of Utah State’s last eight games have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Five of San Diego State’s last six games against conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.

San Diego State vs Utah State Prediction

I’ll probably try Utah State here. The Aggies posted a nice effort over Hawaii on Saturday with 580 total yards (321 passing), 7.8 yards per play, and 27 first downs. The defense held the Warriors to just 4-of-14 on third downs and had five interceptions along the way. Utah State has scored 27 or more points in seven straight games now.

As for San Diego State, they gave up 515 yards (253 rushing) and 26 first downs in their latest loss to UNLV. The Aztecs posted a tepid 270 yards, 14 first downs, two turnovers, and 3-of-12 on third-down tries on the other side. that makes four straight losses for SDSU, with 29 or more points allowed in three of those. This one likely won’t be so one-sided, but I still think Utah State covers at home.

Andrew Jett's Pick: Utah State Aggies -4.5

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