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San Diego State vs New Mexico Prediction 11/28/2025 Today’s College Football Picks
Pick details
| MATCHUP | San Diego State Aztecs | New Mexico Lobos |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 9-2 | 8-3 |
| Spread | -1.5 -110 | +1.5 -110 |
| Moneyline | -120 | +100 |
| Total | Over 41.5 (-108) | Under 41.5 (-112) |
| Where | University Stadium (NM), Albuquerque, NM | |
| When | Friday, November 28, 2025 | |
| Time | 03:30 PM EST | |
| TV | CBSSN | |
New Mexico Lobos Preview
New Mexico has an 8-3 record this season and is sitting 3rd in the MWC. They are 6-5 ATS, 5-6 in Over/Under and have a 5-0 home record and a 3-3 away record. New Mexico is coming off a 20-3 road win against Air Force.
Offensively, New Mexico averages 28.4 points per game, ranking 63rd in the nation, while defensively, they allow 23.0 points per game, which is 57th. New Mexico averages 375.2 total yards per game (222.5 passing and 152.7 rushing), while allowing 348.9 total yards per game (106.2 rushing and 242.7 passing).
Jack Layne leads New Mexico with 2,271 passing yards with 66.8% completed passes and 12 touchdowns. Damon Bankston leads the team in rushing yards with 522, while Keagan Johnson has a team-high 54 receptions for 693 receiving yards. Defensively, Jaxton Eck has a team-high 115 total tackles (59 of them solo), while Keyshawn James-Newby leads the team in sacks, with 7, and Austin Brawley has a team-high 2 interceptions.
San Diego State Aztecs Preview
San Diego State has a 9-2 record this season and is sitting 1st in the MWC. They are 9-2 ATS, 3-8 in Over/Under and have a 6-0 home record and a 3-2 away record. San Diego State is coming off a 25-3 home win over San Jose State.
Offensively, San Diego State averages 25.4 points per game, ranking 82nd in the nation, while defensively, they allow 11.6 points per game, which is 3rd. San Diego State averages 340.5 total yards per game (152.9 passing and 187.6 rushing), while allowing 262.9 total yards per game (103.2 rushing and 159.7 passing).
Jayden Denegal leads San Diego State with 1,645 passing yards with 58.9% completed passes and 8 touchdowns. Lucky Sutton leads the team in rushing yards with 1,127, while Jordan Napier has a team-high 48 receptions for 629 receiving yards. Defensively, Owen Chambliss has a team-high 99 total tackles (58 of them solo), while Trey White, Ryan Henderson lead the team in sacks, with 6 each, and Chris Johnson has a team-high 4 interceptions.
San Diego State Aztecs @ New Mexico Lobos Betting Trends: Week 14
New Mexico Lobos Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 14, Damon Bankston is one of only 15 players in the FBS to record 3+ rushing and 3+ receiving TDs this season.
San Diego State Aztecs Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 14, Lucky Sutton ranks 6th amongst FBS players for rushing attempts (217) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- New Mexico ranks 12th among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (12.0).
- New Mexico ranks T124th among FBS teams for Q3 points per game this season (3.3).
- San Diego State ranks T2nd among FBS teams for points allowed per game this season (11.6).
- San Diego State ranks T2nd among FBS teams for H2 opponent points per game this season (5.0).
San Diego State vs New Mexico Prediction
In this San Diego State vs New Mexico Prediction, San Diego State is coming as -1-point road favorites. Both teams have been very good this season and are both coming into this matchup in excellent form, as they are 4-0 and 7-1 in their last 4 and 8 games respectively. I don’t see value on either side but both teams have been playing excellent defense, allowing just 34.6 points per game combined, with San Diego State having the third-best defense in the country. Take the under 41.5 points in this one.
