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San Diego State vs Hawaii Prediction 11/8/2025 Today’s College Football Picks
Pick details
| MATCHUP | Aztecs San Diego State | Warriors Hawai'i |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 7-1 | 6-3 |
| Spread | -7 -105 | +7 -115 |
| Moneyline | -265 | +215 |
| Total | Over 49.5 (-108) | Under 49.5 (-112) |
| Where | Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex, Honolulu, HI | |
| When | Saturday, November 8, 2025 | |
| Time | 11:00 PM EST | |
| TV | MWN App | |
San Diego State Aztecs Betting Preview
The San Diego State Aztecs beat Wyoming and Fresno State, and they play Boise State next. San Diego State has won 6 straight games. Jayden Denegal is completing 63.3 percent of his passes for 1,415 yards, 8 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions. Donovan Brown and Jordan Napier have combined for 870 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while Jacob Bostick has 11 receptions.
The San Diego State Aztecs ground game is averaging 185.6 yards per contest, and Lucky Sutton leads the way with 820 yards and 8 touchdowns. Defensively, San Diego State is allowing 10 points and 246.9 yards per game. Owen Chambliss leads the San Diego State Aztecs with 71 tackles, Trey White has 6 sacks and Chris Johnson has 3 interceptions.
Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors Betting Preview
The Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors beat Colorado State, lost to San Jose State, and they play UNLV next. The Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors have won 5 of their last 7 games. Micah Alejado is completing 65.9 percent of his passes for 2,124 yards, 15 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions. Pofele Ashlock and Jackson Harris have combined for 1,199 receiving yards and 13 touchdowns, while Brandon White has 29 receptions.
The Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors ground game is averaging 115.3 yards per contest, and Landon Sims leads the way with 439 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Hawai’i is allowing 23.3 points and 402.4 yards per game. Jamih Otis leads the Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors with 49 tackles, Jackie Johnson III has 6 sacks and Kilinahe Mendiola-Jensen has 1 interception.
Why the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors will win
- Hawaii has won four of its last five November games as a home underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
- San Diego State has lost each of its last four November road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Hawaii has covered the spread in each of its last seven November games at Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex.
- San Diego State has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five November games as a road favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
Why the San Diego State Aztecs will win
- San Diego State has won each of its last six games.
- Hawaii has lost six of its last seven home games against teams from California.
- San Diego State has covered the spread in each of its last six games as a favorite.
Total Points Facts
- Nine of San Diego State’s last 10 November games as a road favorite against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of Hawaii’s last four games in November have gone OVER the total points line.
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Player Prop Facts
- Jackson Harris has recorded 75+ receiving yards in four consecutive games – equal-longest streak in the FBS, heading into Week 11.
San Diego State Aztecs Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 11, Lucky Sutton ranks 1st in the Mountain West Conference for rushing yards (820) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Hawaii ranks 5th among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (97.0).
- Hawaii ranks 7th among FBS teams for passing yards per game this season (307.6).
- San Diego State ranks 4th among FBS teams for Q2 opponent points per game this season (2.8).
- San Diego State ranks 4th among FBS teams for H1 opponent points per game this season (4.9).
San Diego State vs Hawaii Prediction
San Diego State is the better team that should win this game in the trenches. San Diego State is physical and one of the best defenses in the country. However, Hawaii has been great at home this season, and it’s always tough for opponents traveling across the water. Hawaii throws the ball as well as anyone and has a pep in its step at home. While San Diego State is 7-1 ATS on the season, Hawaii has covered 6 of its 9 games. I expect a fun back and forth game. Hawaii can hang and should have a chance to steal it late. Give me the points.
