Sam Houston State vs New Mexico State Prediction 10/2/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

The Sam Houston Bearkats and New Mexico State Aggies meet Thursday in college football action at Aggie Memorial Stadium. Here’s a Sam Houston State vs New Mexico State Prediction. This article will include a Sam Houston State vs New Mexico State Pick.

Sam Houston Bearkats Betting Preview

The Sam Houston Bearkats lost to Hawaii and Texas, and they play Jacksonville State next. The Sam Houston Bearkats have lost 5 of their last 7 games. Hunter Watson is completing 55.8 percent of his passes for 396 yards, 0 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Elijah Green and Grady O’Neill have combined for 220 receiving yards and 1 touchdown, while Mailk Phillips has 6 receptions.

The Sam Houston Bearkats ground game is averaging 108.5 yards per contest, and Hunter Watson leads the way with 140 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Sam Houston is allowing 42.8 points and 483.5 yards per game. CJ Brown leads the Sam Houston Bearkats with 27 tackles, Chauncey Chidi has 2 sacks and Emon Allen has 2 interceptions.

New Mexico State Aggies Betting Preview

The New Mexico State Aggies lost to Louisiana Tech and New Mexico, and they play Liberty next. New Mexico State has lost 6 of its last 9 games. Logan Fife is completing 54.1 percent of his passes for 1,017 yards, 5 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Donovan Faupel and Gavin Harris have combined for 501 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while PJ Johnson III has 13 receptions.

The New Mexico State Aggies ground game is averaging 39.8 yards per contest, and Kadarius Calloway leads the way with 80 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, New Mexico State is allowing 26 points and 419.8 yards per game. Naeten Mitchell leads the New Mexico State Aggies with 34 tackles, Jamall Thompson Jr. has 2 sacks and Jakobe Campbell has 1 interception.

Sam Houston State Bearkats @ New Mexico State Aggies Betting Trends: Week 6

New Mexico State Aggies Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 6, Donovan Faupel leads New Mexico State for receptions (19) this season.

Sam Houston State Bearkats Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 6, Landan Brown leads Sam Houston State for receptions (13) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• New Mexico State ranks 128th among FBS teams for Q3 points per game this season (1.8).
• New Mexico State ranks 128th among FBS teams for 1st downs this season (66).
• Sam Houston State ranks 136th among FBS teams for average point differential in second quarters this season (-10.0).
• Sam Houston State has lost the first quarter in each of its last four games – equal-longest active streak in the FBS.

Sam Houston State vs New Mexico State Prediction

Thursdays college football matchup is a battle between two bad teams, and I’m not eager to lay points with either side. Sam Houston State is 133rd in total offense and total defense, and it’s failed to cover its last 4 games as a favorite. New Mexico State has struggles of its own, but it’s at least been able to win a couple of games and has a top-50 passing offense. New Mexico State has outright won 2 of its last 4 games as an underdog and is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games as a home underdog. We’re getting points with the team that’s shown us more through 4 games. At home, I’ll grab the free field goal with New Mexico State.