Purdue vs Oregon State Prediction College Football Picks 9/21/24

Pick details

Oregon State (2-1) vs Purdue (1-1)

September 21, 2024 at 08:30 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Oregon State -6 / Purdue +6 — Over/Under: 46.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Purdue Boilermakers and the Oregon State Beavers meet Saturday in college football action from Reser Stadium. Here’s a Purdue vs Oregon State prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Purdue vs Oregon State pick. We will examine:

The Purdue Boilermakers’ recent form and player performance

The Oregon State Beavers’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Purdue Boilermakers

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Oregon State Beavers

Recent betting trends in games played between Purdue and Oregon State

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Purdue vs Oregon State game

Purdue Boilermakers Betting Preview

Purdue took on Indiana State in their first matchup of the season. The Boilermakers scored 14 points in each of the final three quarters on the way to a 49-0 blowout win. QB Hudson Card finished with four TDs and 273 pass yards. Devin Mockobee led the rush with 89 yards off 11 carries.

In game two versus Notre Dame, Purdue gave up double-digit points in every quarter along the way to a rough 66-7 blowout loss. QB Hudson Card had 124 yards, one TD, and two interceptions while Reggie Love led the rush on 61 yards off 10 carries.

Oregon State Beavers Betting Preview

Over on the Oregon State side, they took a blowout win in their first game as well. That one was a 38-15 finish versus Idaho State. The Beavers were able to keep it going against San Diego State on September 7, powering out a shutout victory 21-0.

Matched up against Oregon last weekend, the Beavers managed a respectable first half, trailing 22-14. Oregon State couldn’t score from there however and lost 49-14. QB Gevani McCoy logged 172 pass yards. Anthony Hankerson led the rush with 57 yards and both TDs off 15 carries.

Why the Oregon State Beavers will win

  • Oregon State has won each of its last 10 September games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Purdue has lost each of its last three road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Oregon State has covered the spread in nine of its last 10 September games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Purdue has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last nine September games as an underdog.

Why the Purdue Boilermakers will win

  • Purdue has won three of its last four games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Oregon State has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games.
  • The road team has covered the spread in each of Oregon State’s last three games.

Total Points Facts

  • Four of Oregon State’s last five games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Each of Purdue’s last three games in September has gone OVER the total points line.

Purdue vs Oregon State Prediction

I’ll stick with Oregon State. The Beavers were outmatched in their last game versus a great Oregon team, giving up 546 total yards (306 passing) and 26 first downs. All things considered, the offense wasn’t too bad. Oregon State mustered 309 yards (178 passing), 19 first downs, zero turnovers, and 7-of-15 on third-down tries.

As for Purdue, they played an even more lopsided game versus the Irish. The Boilermakers posted just 162 total yards (124 passing), 3.3 yards per play, six first downs, and 1-of-12 on third-down tries. Purdue will match up much better in this one, but I don’t think they’ll cover if the Beavers play well.

Andrew Jett's Pick: Oregon State Beavers -6

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