Appalachian State Mountaineers quarterback AJ Swann (5) makes a pass against the Southern Miss Golden Eagles during the first quarter at M.M. Roberts Stadium in Hattiesburg, Mississippi, on September 13, 2025.

Oregon State vs Appalachian State Prediction 10/4/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

Pick details

Oregon State (0-5) vs Appalachian State (9-5)

October 4, 2025 at 03:30 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Appalachian State -1.5 — Over/Under: +53.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Oregon State Beavers and the Appalachian State Mountaineers meet in week 6 college football action from Kidd Brewer Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Oregon State Beavers vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers prediction.

Oregon State Beavers Recap

The Oregon State Beavers come into this game looking to bounce back from their 27-24 loss at the hands of Houston in their last game to sit at 0-5 this season. After this game, Oregon State will head home for a game against Wake Forest.

Beavers Still Searching For First W

Maalik Murphy has thrown for 1,165 yards, 7 touchdowns and 5 interceptions on 58% passing while Anthony Hankerson has a team-high 302 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns so far this season. Trent Walker has a team-high 30 receptions for 405 yards while Taz Reddicks has 257 receiving yards and David Wells Jr. has 176 receiving yards. Bryce Caufield has 136 receiving yards and a TD as well this season. On defense, Skyler Thomas has a team-high 39 total tackles while the Oregon State defense as a whole has combined for 6 sacks and 4 interceptions so far this season.

Appalachian State Mountaineers Recap

The Appalachian State Mountaineers come into this game looking to rebound from their 47-14 loss at the hands of Boise State last time out to sit at 2-2 this season. After this game, Appalachian State will head on the road for a game against Georgia State.

Mountaineers Drop Back-To-Back Games

AJ Swann has thrown for 943 yards, 6 touchdowns and 6 interceptions on 59.8% passing while Rashod Dubinion has a team-high 513 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns this season. Jaden Barnes leads App State with 24 grabs for 337 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns while Dalton Stroman has 302 receiving yards and 2 TDs and Izayah Cummings has 19 catches for 192 yards this season. On defense, Colton Phares has a team-high 24 total tackles while Thomas Davis has a pair of sacks. Kevin Abrams-Verwayne has a team-high 2.5 sacks while DJ Burks has a pair of interceptions. As a unit, Appalachian State has combined for 11 sacks and 4 interceptions so far this season.

Oregon State Beavers @ Appalachian State Mountaineers Betting Trends: Week 6

Why the Appalachian State Mountaineers will win

  • Oregon State has lost each of its last 11 games against non-conference opponents.
  • Appalachian State has won 13 of its last 14 games against non-conference opponents at Kidd Brewer Stadium.
  • Oregon State has failed to cover the spread in eight of its last nine games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • The home team has covered the spread in each of Oregon State’s last three games.
  • Appalachian State has won the first half in 14 of its last 16 games against non-conference opponents at Kidd Brewer Stadium.
  • Appalachian State has won the first quarter in each of its last nine games against non-conference opponents at Kidd Brewer Stadium.

Why the Oregon State Beavers will win


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  • Oregon State has won three of its last four October games as a road underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Appalachian State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last seven games in October.
  • The underdog has covered the spread in each of Appalachian State’s last six games at Kidd Brewer Stadium.

Total Points Facts

  • Seven of Appalachian State’s last eight games in North Carolina have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Each of Oregon State’s last four road games have gone UNDER the total points line.

Appalachian State Mountaineers Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 6, Rashod Dubinion leads the Sun Belt Conference for rush attempts (88) this season.

Oregon State Beavers Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 6, Anthony Hankerson leads the Pac-12 Conference for touchdowns (2) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Appalachian State ranks T132nd among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (10.8).
  • Appalachian State ranks T130th among FBS teams for average point differential in fourth quarters this season (-6.3).
  • Oregon State has lost the second quarter in each of its last four games – equal-longest active streak in the FBS.
  • Oregon State ranks 134th among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (11.4).

Oregon State Beavers vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers Prediction

I’m on the over in this one. I just think that App State can get whatever they want offensively in this game as the Beavers have really struggled on the road, but I do think that the Beavers showed some life offensively in the last game against Houston and I think they can still contribute here against App State. Give me the over here.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Over 53.5

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