Oklahoma vs Texas Prediction 10/11/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

The Texas Longhorns and the Oklahoma Sooners meet in week 7 college football action from the Cotton Bowl on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Texas Longhorns vs. Oklahoma Sooners prediction.

Texas Longhorns Recap

The Texas Longhorns come into this game looking to rebound from their 29-21 loss at the hands of the Florida Gators last time out to fall to 3-2 this season. After this game, the Longhorns will head on the road for a game against the Kentucky Wildcats.

Longhorns Have Three-Game Win Streak Snapped

Arch Manning has thrown for 1,151 yards, 11 touchdowns and 5 interceptions on 60% passing while also leading Texas with 160 rushing yards and 5 touchdowns this season. Four more Longhorns have 100+ rushing yards as well on the year while Parker Livingstone has a team-high 279 receiving yards with 3 touchdowns and Ryan Wingo has a team-high 17 grabs for 263 yards and 4 touchdowns as well this season. DeAndre Moore and Jack Endries each have 100+ receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Michael Taaffe has a team-high 32 total tackles including 16 solo tackles and an interception while Jelani McDonald has a team-high 2 interceptions so far this season. On defense, Texas has combined for 11 sacks and 5 interceptions as a unit so far this season.

Oklahoma Sooners Recap

The Oklahoma Sooners come into this game looking to add on to their 44-0 win over Kent State last time out to improve to 5-0 this season. After this game, Oklahoma will head on the road for a game against South Carolina.

Sooners Looking To Stay Unbeaten

John Mateer has thrown for 1,215 yards, 6 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 67.4% passing while also rushing for 190 yards and 5 touchdowns and Tory Blaylock also has a team-high 257 rushing yards and 3 TDs as well this season. Isaiah Sategna III has a team-high 26 receptions for 359 yards and 3 TDs while Jaren Kanak has 328 receiving yards. Deion Burks and Keontez Lewis each have 200+ receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Kip Lewis has a team-high 25 total tackles while Taylor Wein has a team-high 3.5 sacks and R Mason Thomas and Jayden Jackson each have 3 sacks this season. As a unit, Oklahoma has combined for 21 sacks and an interception this season. 

Oklahoma Sooners @ Texas Longhorns Betting Trends: Week 7

Why the Texas Longhorns will win

• Texas has won 18 of its last 19 games as a favorite in Texas.
• Oklahoma has lost six of its last seven games in Texas.
• Oklahoma has failed to cover the spread in each of its last seven games against non-AP-ranked teams at neutral venues.
• Texas has covered the spread in eight of its last 10 games against AP-ranked teams at Cotton Bowl.
• Texas has won the first half in 15 of its last 17 games against conference opponents.
• Texas has won the first quarter in six of its last seven games against conference opponents.

Why the Oklahoma Sooners will win

• Oklahoma has won each of its last five games.
• Texas has lost each of its last five October games against top-15 AP-ranked teams.
• Texas has failed to cover the spread in each of its last seven games against top-15 AP-ranked teams at neutral venues.
• The team ranked 6th in the AP Poll has covered the spread in four of its last five games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Oklahoma’s last six games have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of Texas’ last four games against top-10 AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.

Texas Longhorns Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 7, Jelani McDonald leads the Southeastern Conference for interceptions (2) this season.

Oklahoma Sooners Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 7, Grayson Miller ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for gross average yards per punt (49.8) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Texas has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of 15+ points of any FBS team this season (3).
• Texas ranks 2nd among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage against this season (11.1).
• Oklahoma ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (1.4).
• Oklahoma ranks 1st among FBS teams for yards allowed per game this season (193.0).

Texas Longhorns vs. Oklahoma Sooners Prediction

I’m on Oklahoma here. Whether Mateer plays or not is a big deal, but I still don’t love how Arch Manning has looked and how he could potentially look against a top-tier Oklahoma defense. Texas usually gets up for the Oklahoma game, but I think we’re getting a great price on the better team here. Give me Oklahoma in this one.