North Texas vs UTSA Prediction College Football Picks 11/15/24

The North Texas Mean Green and the UTSA Roadrunners meet Friday in college football action from the Alamodome. Here’s a North Texas vs UTSA prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best North Texas vs UTSA pick. We will examine:

The North Texas Mean Green’s recent form and player performance

The UTSA Roadrunners’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the North Texas Mean Green

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the UTSA Roadrunners

Recent betting trends in games played between North Texas and UTSA

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the North Texas vs UTSA game

North Texas Mean Green Betting Preview

The Mean Green only lost one of their first six games (to Texas Tech); otherwise, it was wins over South Alabama, Stephen F. Austin, Wyoming, Tulsa, and FAU. Next came losses to Memphis and Tulane, however.

In Saturday’s game versus Army, the Mean Green mustered a field goal in the first quarter then got blanked in a 14-3 loss. Chandler Morris posted 214 yards and a pair of picks. Shane Porter led a tepid rush with six carries for only 33 yards. Damon Ward caught four balls for 63 yards to top the receivers.

UTSA Roadrunners Betting Preview

Over on the UTSA side, they went 2-2 over their first quartet with wins over Kennesaw State and Houston Christian around losses to Texas State and Texas. The Roadrunners hit a 2-3 run in the next five with losses to East Carolina, Rice, and Tulsa.

Back on November 2 in their most recent appearance versus Memphis, the Roadrunners scored double-digit points in every quarter on the way to a nice 44-36 victory. Owen McCown threw for 280 yards and four scores. Chris Carpenter caught four balls for 108 yards.

Why the UTSA Roadrunners will win

• UTSA has won each of its last 20 games against conference opponents at Alamodome.
• North Texas has lost each of its last three games at Alamodome.
• The home team has covered the spread in 10 of the last 11 games between North Texas and UTSA.
• North Texas has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four games against conference opponents.

Why the North Texas Mean Green will win

• North Texas has won 19 of its last 20 games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
• North Texas has covered the spread in seven of its last eight November games as a favorite.
• UTSA has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of North Texas’ last nine games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of UTSA’s last four games against conference opponents has gone OVER the total points line.

North Texas vs UTSA Prediction

I’m going to stay with UTSA. The Roadrunners are getting plenty of rest and prep after their solid win over a good Memphis team. UTSA gave up 516 yards (454 passing) and 27 first downs in that one, but also came up with two takeaways and held the Tigers to just 4-of-13 on third downs. (The 12 Memphis penalties didn’t hurt either.) The Roadrunners have scored 38 or more points in three straight games now, but they’re also giving up quite a bit on the other side.

As for North Texas, on Saturday they were pummeled by the Army meat grinder. The Mean Green gave up 308 yards (293 rushing), 23 first downs, and 9-of-14 on third downs but did have a pair of takeaways. It’s tough to score when you hold the ball for just 18:15, though. North Texas should have some more opportunities this weekend but I don’t quite think they’ll cover/win.