Nicholls vs Troy Prediction 8/30/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

In this article we will formulate a Nicholls vs Troy prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, August 30th at Veterans Memorial Stadium in Troy, Alabama. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 1 matchup. 

Nicholls Colonels Betting Preview

The Nicholls Colonels are 1-0 this year after they defeated Incarnate Word by a score of 20-6 last week. Nicholls trailed 3-0 in the first quarter, but they led 13-6 after the third, before adding a touchdown in the fourth to seal the victory. The Colonels out gained UIW by a total of 287-204, went 5-17 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 4-1. Deuce Hogan went 21-36 for 221 yards and one touchdown in the win. Jordan Poole rushed for 23 yards on seven carries, while Karaaz Johnson caught two passes for 58 yards and one score. 

Last season, Nicholls went 4-8 (2-5) and they finished eighth in the Southland Conference standings, only ahead of winless Northwestern State. Nicholls started the 2024 season with a 25-17 loss to Louisiana Tech, which was followed up by a 44-21 loss at LSU. Nicholls picked up wins against Mississippi Valley State, Southern, Northwestern State, and McNeese, while they lost to La Tech, LSU, Sacramento State, Incarnate Word, Stephen F. Austin, Houston Christian, Lamar, and SE Louisiana. The Colonels finished the 2024 season by losing four straight games and scoring 16 points or fewer in three of those losses. 

Troy Trojans Betting Preview

The Troy Trojans went 4-8 (3-5) last season and they finished tied for fifth in the SBC West standings with UL Monroe. Troy started the 2024 season by losing their first seven FBS games, but they did win three of their last four games to end the year. The Trojans picked up wins against Florida A&M, Coastal Carolina, Georgia Southern, and Southern Miss, while they lost to Nevada, Memphis, Iowa, UL Monroe, Texas State, South Alabama, Arkansas State, and Louisiana. Troy scored 26.0 points per game in 2024, which was ranked 82nd in the nation, while they allowed 28.4 points against per game, which was 92nd. 

This year, Troy will have a new leading quarterback, but both options do have some experience and should be able to step in just fine. The Trojans need to be better on the offensive line, which should help a rushing attack that lost its leading rusher from a year ago. At receiver, Troy lost their top two from last season, so that is definitely an area of focus heading into this season. On defense, the Trojans have to find some improvement this season, but they did get plenty of help from the transfer portal on that side of the ball. 

Why Troy will beat Nicholls 

• Troy has won each of its last 10 home games against non-FBS teams.
• Troy has covered the spread in four of its last five games against non-AP-ranked teams.

Why Nicholls will beat Troy 

• Troy has failed to cover the spread in each of its last three home openers.

Total Points Facts

• Six of Troy’s last seven home openers have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• Troy ranked 121st among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game last season (8.1).
• Troy ranked 117th among FBS teams for red zone percentage against last season (90.7).

Nicholls vs Troy Prediction 

Troy comes into this season with plenty of momentum after a strong finish in November last season, but they do have plenty of question marks coming into 2025. Nicholls was pretty bad during the 2024 season, but they did battle Louisiana Tech very well and put up a fight against LSU. Troy is clearly the better team in this matchup, but Nicholls does have the benefit of playing last week, which could result in a quick start. I think the Troy defense will be able to lockdown for most of this game, but I don’t know if their offense is going to do much, especially with the lost production at WR and RB. Take the under in this game.