New Mexico State vs Western Kentucky Prediction 11/1/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

The New Mexico State Aggies and Western Kentucky Hilltoppers meet Saturday in college football action at Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium. Here’s a New Mexico State vs Western Kentucky Prediction. This article will include a New Mexico State vs Western Kentucky Pick.

New Mexico State Aggies Betting Preview

The New Mexico State Aggies lost to Liberty and Missouri State, and they play Kennesaw State next. New Mexico State has lost 4 of its last 5 games. Logan Fife is completing 57.8 percent of his passes for 1,721 yards, 9 touchdowns, and 8 interceptions. Donovan Faupel and Gavin Harris have combined for 799 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while TK King has 13 receptions.

The New Mexico State Aggies ground game is averaging 68.9 yards per contest, and Kadarius Calloway leads the way with 280 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, New Mexico State is allowing 24 points and 385 yards per game. Naeten Mitchell leads the New Mexico State Aggies with 56 tackles, Ezra Christensen has 6 sacks and Jakobe Campbell has 1 interception.

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Betting Preview

The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers beat La Tech, lost to FIU, and they play Middle Tennessee next. The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers have won 4 of their last 5 games. Maverick McIvor is completing 67.3 percent of his passes for 1,863 yards, 12 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions. Matthew Henry and KD Hutchinson have combined for 894 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns, while Moussa Barry has 19 receptions.

The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers ground game is averaging 121.1 yards per contest, and Marvis Parrish leads the way with 291 yards on 61 carries. Defensively, Western Kentucky is allowing 23.6 points and 408.9 yards per game. Jaylen Wester leads the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers with 54 tackles, Harper Holloman has 2 sacks and Jaylen Lewis has 2 interceptions.

Why the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers will win

• Western Kentucky has won 19 of its last 22 November games at L.T. Smith Stadium.
• New Mexico State has lost four of its last five games.
• Western Kentucky has covered the spread in four of its last five home games.
• New Mexico State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last three games as an underdog after coming off overtime.

Why the New Mexico State Aggies will win

• New Mexico State has won five of its last six November games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
• New Mexico State has covered the spread in each of its last six November games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Western Kentucky has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven November games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.

Total Points Facts

• Seven of New Mexico State’s last eight road games against conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of Western Kentucky’s last five games after coming off overtime have gone OVER the total points line.

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 10, K.D. Hutchinson leads the Conference USA for receptions (36) this season.

New Mexico State Aggies Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 10, Donovan Faupel leads the Conference USA for receptions (36) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Western Kentucky ranks 121st among FBS teams for rushing yards allowed per game this season (191.6).
• Western Kentucky ranks 18th among FBS teams for average point differential in fourth quarters this season (+4.1).
• New Mexico State ranks T122nd among FBS teams for 1st downs this season (130).
• New Mexico State ranks 15th among FBS teams for red zone percentage against this season (73.9).

New Mexico State vs Western Kentucky Prediction

New Mexico State has been more competitive than its record but continues to come up short due to a poor offense. New Mexico State is 119th in total offense and 107th in scoring offense. It’s not good enough. Western Kentucky is winning games and is 6-2 ATS on the season. WKU has a decent offense that’s been consistent throughout the season, and if that continues, New Mexico State just doesn’t have the horses to counter. I’ll ride the hot hand and side with Western Kentucky in a comfortable home win.