New Mexico State vs UTEP Prediction 11/22/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

The New Mexico State Aggies and UTEP Miners meet Saturday in college football action at Sun Bowl. Here’s a New Mexico State vs UTEP Prediction. This article will include a New Mexico State vs UTEP Pick.

New Mexico State Aggies Betting Preview

The New Mexico State Aggies lost to Kennesaw State and Tennessee, and they play Middle Tennessee next. New Mexico State has lost 5 straight games. Logan Fife is completing 56.4 percent of his passes for 2,240 yards, 11 touchdowns, and 12 interceptions. Donovan Faupel and Gavin Harris have combined for 1,056 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns, while TK King has 26 receptions.

The New Mexico State Aggies ground game is averaging 64.9 yards per contest, and Kadarius Calloway leads the way with 332 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, New Mexico State is allowing 26.9 points and 396.4 yards per game. Naeten Mitchell leads the New Mexico State Aggies with 80 tackles, Ezra Christensen has 6 sacks and Bernock Iya has 4 interceptions.

UTEP Miners Betting Preview

The UTEP Miners lost to Jacksonville State and Missouri State, and they play Delaware next. The UTEP Miners have lost 7 of their last 8 games. Malachi Nelson is completing 54.7 percent of his passes for 1,163 yards, 8 touchdowns, and 9 interceptions. Kenny Odom and Wondame Davis Jr. have combined for 905 receiving yards and 8 touchdowns, while Eric Willis III has 23 receptions.

The UTEP Miners ground game is averaging 111.3 yards per contest, and Skyler Locklear leads the way with 364 yards and 7 touchdowns. Defensively, UTEP is allowing 27 points and 369.9 yards per game. Micah Davey leads the UTEP Miners with 119 tackles, Udoka Ezeani has 5 sacks and Xavier Smith has 1 interception.

Why the UTEP Miners will win

• New Mexico State has lost seven of its last eight road games against conference opponents.
• The home team has won eight of New Mexico State’s last 10 games.
• UTEP has covered the spread in eight of its last nine November games as a home favorite.

Why the New Mexico State Aggies will win

• UTEP has lost four of its last six games as a home favorite.
• New Mexico State has won four of its last five November road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• New Mexico State has covered the spread in seven of its last eight November games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
• UTEP has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four games at Sun Bowl.

Total Points Facts

• Each of New Mexico State’s last six games in Texas have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of UTEP’s last five games in November have gone OVER the total points line.

UTEP Miners Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 13, Wondame Davis Jr. ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for Yards Per Reception (22.1) this season.

New Mexico State Aggies Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 13, Bernock Iya ranks T1st in the Conference USA for interceptions (4) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• UTEP ranks T127th among FBS teams for 1st downs this season (163).
• UTEP ranks 127th among FBS teams for average point differential in first quarters this season (-5.1).
• New Mexico State ranks 132nd among FBS teams for Q3 points per game this season (2.7).
• New Mexico State ranks T7th among FBS teams for interceptions this season (14).

New Mexico State vs UTEP Prediction

I’m not excited to get involved in this game as these are two bottom feeding teams that aren’t winning, don’t cover numbers, and are awful on both sides of the ball. With that said, somebody has to win. I’ll lean UTEP, as it’s at home and it’s senior day for 33 seniors. New Mexico State hasn’t won a game on the road this season, and the Aggies have possibly the worst offense in the country. UTEP is 3-1 SU and ATS in its last 4 games as a favorite. We’re laying a field goal. There’s far and away better options out there, but if forced to pick, I’m rolling with the home team and the soft line.

Randy Chambers's Pick: UTEP -3