New Mexico State vs Liberty Prediction 10/14/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

In this article, we will formulate a New Mexico State vs Liberty Prediction for this College Football Week 8 game on Tuesday, October 14th at the Williams Stadium (VA). Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.

Liberty Flames Preview

The Liberty Flames have a 2-4 record this season and are sitting 8th in the CUSA. They are 2-4 ATS, 1-5 on the Over/Under and have a 1-3 away record and 1-1 home record. The Flames are coming off a 19-8 road win over UTEP and will play their next three games against Delaware, Missouri State and FIU.

Offensively, the Flames average 17.3 points per game, which ranks 126th in the NCAA. Defensively, they allow 20.7 points per game, which is 44th. Liberty averages 352.8 total yards per game, with 166 rushing yards and 186.8 passing yards. They allow 351 total yards per game, with 196.8 rushing and 154.2 passing yards.

Ethan Vasko leads the Flames with 1006 passing yards and 57.4% completed passes. Evan Dickens leads the team with 344 rushing yards, while Jamari Person has a team-high 16 receptions for 187 receiving yards. Defensively, Joseph Carter has a team-high 43 total tackles (16 solo). CJ Bazile Jr. leads the Flames in sacks with 1.5, while five Flames players have one interception apiece.

New Mexico State Aggies Preview

The New Mexico State Aggies have a 3-2 record this season and are sitting 6th in the CUSA. They are 2-3 ATS, 2-3 on the Over/Under and have a 0-2 away record and 3-0 home record. The Aggies are coming off a 37-10 home win over Sam Houston and will play their next three games against Missouri State, Western Kentucky and Kennesaw State.

Offensively, the Aggies average 22.2 points per game, which ranks 106th in the NCAA. Defensively, they allow 22.8 points per game, which is 61st. New Mexico State averages 311.8 total yards per game, with 50.6 rushing yards and 261.2 passing yards. They allow 398.6 total yards per game, with 152.6 rushing and 246.0 passing yards.

Logan Fife leads the Aggies with 1272 passing yards and 57.0% completed passes. Kadarius Calloway leads the team with 146 rushing yards, while Donovan Faupel has a team-high 23 receptions for 312 receiving yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Naeten Mitchell has a team-high 44 total tackles (28 solo). Ezra Christensen leads the Aggies in sacks with 3.0, while Naeten Mitchell and Tory Gethers each have one interception.

New Mexico State Aggies @ Liberty Flames Betting Trends: Week 8

Liberty Flames Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 8, Donte Lee Jr. leads the Conference USA for yards per reception (24.1) this season.

New Mexico State Aggies Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 8, PJ Johnson III leads New Mexico State for touchdowns (3) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Liberty ranks T128th among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (3.8).
• Liberty ranks T128th among FBS teams for H1 points per game this season (6.7).
• New Mexico State ranks 136th among FBS teams for rushing yards per game this season (50.4).
• New Mexico State ranks T132nd among FBS teams for Q3 points per game this season (2.0).

New Mexico State vs Liberty Prediction

In their previous meeting last season, Liberty won 30-24 on the road, and are 6-1 in their last 7 meetings against New Mexico State. They are 4-1 in their last 5 home meetings against New Mexico State, and over is 3-1-1 in their last 5 meetings.

In this New Mexico State vs Liberty Prediction, Liberty is coming as -11-point home favorites, with the total set at 46 points. Both teams are coming off wins that ended their previous losing streaks, but the value in this matchup is in the total. Both teams are a combined 8-3 to the under this season, as they are both sitting outside the top-100 of the nation offensively, scoring just 39.5 points per game combined, while sitting on the top-61 of the nation defensively, allowing 43.5 points per game combined. Get the under 46 in this one.