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Nevada vs Utah State Prediction 11/8/2025 Today’s College Football Picks
Pick details
| MATCHUP | Wolf Pack Nevada | Aggies Utah State |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 1-7 | 4-4 |
| Spread | +9.5 -112 | -9.5 -108 |
| Moneyline | +270 | -340 |
| Total | Over 52.5 (-115) | Under 52.5 (-105) |
| Where | Maverik Stadium, Logan, UT | |
| When | Saturday, November 8, 2025 | |
| Time | 07:30 PM EST | |
| TV | CBSSN | |
Nevada Wolf Pack Betting Preview
The Nevada Wolf Pack lost to Boise State and New Mexico, and they play San Jose State next. Nevada has lost 6 straight games. Carter Jones is completing 62.5 percent of his passes for 661 yards, 3 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions. Marcus Bellon and Jett Carpenter have combined for 430 receiving yards and 1 touchdown, while Jordan Brown has 14 receptions.
The Nevada Wolf Pack ground game is averaging 137.9 yards per contest, and Caleb Ramseur leads the way with 329 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Nevada is allowing 27.5 points and 366.3 yards per game. Dylan Labarbera leads the Nevada Wolf Pack with 69 tackles, Jonathan Maldonado has 5 sacks and EJ Smith has 2 interceptions.
Utah State Aggies Betting Preview
The Utah State Aggies beat San Jose State, lost to New Mexico, and they play UNLV next. Utah State has lost 3 of its last 4 games. Bryson Barnes is completing 64.1 percent of his passes for 1,808 yards, 14 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. Braden Pegan and Brady Boyd have combined for 1,085 receiving yards and 8 touchdowns, while Broc Lane has 17 receptions.
The Utah State Aggies ground game is averaging 160.3 yards per contest, and Miles Davis leads the way with 576 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Utah State is allowing 31.8 points and 444 yards per game. John Miller leads the Utah State Aggies with 72 tackles, Bronson Olevao Jr. has 3 sacks and Noah Avinger has 3 interceptions.
Why the Utah State Aggies will win
- Nevada has lost each of its last 11 games in November.
- Utah State has won each of its last six home games.
- Utah State has covered the spread in each of its last six games at Merlin Olsen Field at Maverik Stadium.
- Nevada has failed to cover the spread in nine of its last 11 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Utah State has won the first half in each of its last five games against conference opponents at Merlin Olsen Field at Maverik Stadium.
Why the Nevada Wolf Pack will win
- Nevada has covered the spread in four of its last five November games as a road underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Nevada’s last four road games against conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of Utah State’s last four November games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
Utah State Aggies Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 11, Miles Davis is one of only seven players in the FBS to record 3+ rushing and 3+ receiving TDs this season.
Nevada Wolf Pack Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 11, Dylan Labarbera ranks T14th amongst FBS players for sacks (6.5) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Utah State ranks 132nd among FBS teams for red zone percentage against this season (96.6).
- Utah State ranks 131st among FBS teams for time of possession per game this season (26:42).
- Nevada ranks 133rd among FBS teams for points per game this season (14.0).
- Nevada ranks 132nd among FBS teams for H2 points per game this season (6.9).
Nevada vs Utah State Prediction
Nevada is riding a massive losing streak because it can’t score the football, but that shouldn’t be the case here, factoring in Utah State’s defense. Utah State has allowed 25 or more points in 6 of its last 7 games. Utah State is 121st in total defense and 118th in scoring defense. Sorry if I’m not excited to lay big numbers with a team that can’t defend. Utah State is 6-2 ATS on the season, but I’m still not laying more than a touchdown with one of the worst defenses in the country. Give me Nevada and the points if forced to pick.
