Navy vs Notre Dame Prediction 11/8/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

The Navy Midshipmen and the Notre Dame Fighting Irish meet in week 11 college football action from Notre Dame Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Navy Midshipmen vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish prediction.

Navy Midshipmen Recap

The Navy Midshipmen come into this game looking to rebound from a 31-17 loss at the hands of North Texas last time out to sit at 7-1 this season. After this game, Navy will head home for a game against USF.

Midshipmen Looking To Rebound From First Loss Of Season

Blake Horvath has thrown for 1,143 yards, 7 touchdowns and 5 interceptions on 63.6% passing while also rushing for a team-high 926 yards and 13 touchdowns. Alex Tecza has 523 rushing yards and 6 touchdowns and Eli Heidenreich has 342 rushing yards and 3 touchdowns. Brandon Chatman also has 360 rushing yards and 2 TDs as well on the year. Heidenrich leads the Middies in receiving with 31 catches for 575 yards and 4 touchdowns. On defense, MarcAnthony Parker leads the Midshipmen with 68 total tackles and Landon Robinson has a team-high 5.5 sacks. As a unit, Navy’s defense has combined for 19 sacks and 4 interceptions so far this season.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish Recap

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish come into this game looking to add on to their 25-10 win over Boston College last time out to sit at 6-2 this season. After this game, Notre Dame will head on the road for a game against the Pitt Panthers.

Irish Win 6th In A Row

CJ Carr has thrown for 2,057 yards, 16 touchdowns and 4 interceptions on 66.5% passing while Jeremiyah Love’s rushed for a team-high 894 yards and 11 TDs to lead the Irish in rushing and Jadarian Price has 521 rushing yards with 8 TDs. Jordan Faison leads the Irish in receiving with 39 catches for 518 yards and 2 TDs while Malachi Fields and Eli Raridon each have 400+ receiving yards and Will Pauling has 331 receiving yards and 5 TDs as well this season. On defense, Drayk Bowen has a team-high 50 total tackles while Tae Johnson, Leonard Moore and Luke Talich each have a team-high 3 interceptions. As a unit, Notre Dame’s defense has combined for 23 sacks and 16 interceptions up to this point in the year. 

Navy Midshipmen @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish Betting Trends: Week 11

Why the Notre Dame Fighting Irish will win

• Notre Dame has won each of its last 14 November games at Notre Dame Stadium.
• Navy has lost each of its last seven games against top-15 AP-ranked teams.
• Notre Dame has covered the spread in each of its last 10 November games at Notre Dame Stadium.
• Navy has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five games.
• Navy has lost the first half in each of its last nine games against opponents from the FBS Independents.
• Notre Dame has won the first quarter in each of its last four games against opponents from the American Conference.

Why the Navy Midshipmen will win

• Navy has won 10 of its last 11 games.
• Navy has covered the spread in five of its last six games against top-10 AP-ranked teams.
• Notre Dame has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four games.

Total Points Facts

• Seven of Navy’s last eight games in November have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of Notre Dame’s last four games have gone UNDER the total points line.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 11, Jeremiyah Love ranks T2nd amongst FBS players for touchdowns (14) this season.

Navy Midshipmen Player Prop Facts

• Blake Horvath has recorded 100+ rushing yards in six consecutive games – longest streak in the FBS, heading into Week 11.

Matchup/League Facts

• Notre Dame ranks 1st among FBS teams for interceptions this season (16).
• Notre Dame has won the third quarter in each of its last seven games – longest active streak in the FBS.
• Navy has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of 10 points or less of any FBS team this season (3).
• Navy ranks 1st among FBS teams for rushing yards per game this season (317.3).

Navy Midshipmen vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish Prediction

I’m on Navy and the points here. I still think Notre Dame wins rather comfortably, but the thing about the Irish in this game is that Navy was blown out in this matchup last season and I don’t think the Middies have forgotten about that. Also we’re catching almost 4 TDs with a service academy and while Navy’s been playing with a new look option offense, it’s still an option offense at it’s core, which means ball control and time of possession is still the name of the game. This is a ton of points to give up here so I’ll take Navy and the points in this one.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Navy +26.5