Navy vs Air Force Prediction College Football Picks 10/5/24

Pick details

Air Force (1-3) vs Navy (4-0)

Game Info: Saturday, October 5, 2024 at 12:00 pm (Falcon Stadium)

The Line: Betting Odds: Air Force +10 — Over/Under: 35.5

(Get latest betting odds)


In this article, we will formulate a Navy vs Air Force prediction for this College Football Week 6 game on Saturday, September 5th, at Falcon Stadium.  Let’s take a look at a Navy Midshipmen vs Air Force Falcons pick. To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

-The Midshipmen’s recent form and recent player performance 

-The Falcons’ recent form and recent player performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Navy 

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Air Force

-Recent betting trends in games played between Navy and Air Force. 

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between the Midshipmen and Falcons.

Perfect Start for Navy 

It has been a perfect start to the season for Navy and they come into this game with a 4-0 record. In the last game against UAB, the offense scored 41 points and they ended up winning with ease. Blake Horvath had a huge game through the hair completing 9 of his 11 passes for 225 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception. He was also the leading rusher, finishing with 13 carries for 84 yards and a touchdown. The defense also stepped up and only gave up 18 points. In this game, the defense needs to step up again. 

Navy on the season is averaging 46 points while their defense is giving up 23.5 points per game. On the season, their defense is ranked 68th while the offense is ranked 9th. This is a game that they can’t slip up in. 

Why Navy Will Beat Air Force

  • Navy has won each of its last four games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Air Force has lost each of its last three games.
  • Air Force has failed to cover the spread in eight of its last nine games.
  • Navy has covered the spread in each of its last four road games in October.

Air Force Has Been Disappointing

Air Force won the first game of the season, but since that game against Merrimack, they have struggled. Over the last three games, the offense has scored only 41 points total. In the last game against Wyoming, Air Force scored 19 points, but the defense gave up 31 points and that led to the 12-point defeat. John Busha was under center and he completed 6 of his 13 passes for 115 yards. Aiden Calvert rushed three times for 54 yards and a touchdown. 

Air Force on the season is averaging 12.5 points while their defense is giving up 21.3 points per game. The offense is ranked 131st while the defense is ranked 49th. The defense needs to be strong in this game. Air Force will face New Mexico and Colorado State following this series.

Navy vs Air Force Prediction

Navy is going to have no issue running up the score here. Navy is averaging 46 points per game and the Air Force defense hasn’t been good enough. Air Force is averaging only 12.5 points per game and that type of offense isn’t going to be good enough to keep this game close. Navy is going to put on a show and they are going to end up cruising to victory here. Back Navy against the spread here. 

Shane Mickle's Pick: Navy -10

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