Sep 27, 2025; College Station, Texas, USA; Texas A&M Aggies linebacker Taurean York (21) defends in coverage against the Auburn Tigers during the fourth quarter at Kyle Field. Mandatory Credit: Maria Lysaker-Imagn Images

Mississippi State vs Texas A&M Prediction 10/5/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

Pick details

Mississippi State (4-1) vs Texas A&M (4-0)

October 4, 2025 at 07:30 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Texas A&M -14 — Over/Under: +55.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Mississippi State vs Texas A&M Prediction for this College Football Week 6 game on Saturday, October 4th at the Kyle Field. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.

Texas A&M Preview

Texas A&M has a 4-0 record this season and is sitting on the 5th place of the SEC. They are 1-3 ATS, 3-1 in Over/Under and have a 3-0 home record and 1-0 away record. The Aggies are coming off a 16-10 home win against Auburn and are playing Mississippi State, Florida and Arkansas next.

Offensively, the Aggies average 35.8 points per game, which ranks 41st in the nation. Defensively, they allow 24.0 points per game, which is 71st. Texas A&M averages 463.8 total yards per game, with 169.5 rushing yards and 294.3 passing yards per game. They allow 307.3 total yards per game, with 117.3 rushing and 190 passing yards per game.

Marcel Reed leads the Aggies with 1076 passing yards and 60.3% completed passes. Le’Veon Moss leads the team in rushing yards, with 307, while Mario Craver has a team-high 24 caught passes for 477 receiving yards, and has 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Taurean York has a team-high 24 total tackles, 13 of them solo. Cashius Howell leads the Aggies in sacks, with 4, while Scooby Williams has 1 interception.

Mississippi State Preview


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Mississippi State has a 4-1 record this season and is sitting on the 12th place of the SEC. They are 5-0 ATS, 2-3 in Over/Under and have a 3-1 home record and 1-0 away record. The Bulldogs are coming off a 34-41 home loss against Tennessee and are playing Texas A&M, Florida and Texas next.

Offensively, the Bulldogs average 38.6 points per game, which ranks 22nd in the nation. Defensively, they allow 17.6 points per game, which is 32nd. Mississippi State averages 430.8 total yards per game, with 204.8 rushing yards and 226 passing yards per game. They allow 305.6 total yards per game, with 135.4 rushing and 170.2 passing yards per game.

Blake Shapen leads the Bulldogs with 1064 passing yards and 65.9% completed passes. Fluff Bothwell leads the team in rushing yards, with 405, while Brenen Thompson has a team-high 20 caught passes for 324 receiving yards, and has 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Isaac Smith has a team-high 28 total tackles, 2 of them solo. Will Whitson leads the Bulldogs in sacks, with 2, while Jahron Manning has 1 interception.

Mississippi State vs Texas A&M Prediction

In their previous meeting last season, Texas A&M won 34-24 on the road. They are 4-2 their last 6 meetings against Mississippi State, but Mississippi State is 6-3 ATS in their last 9 meetings. Over is 4-0 in their last 4 meetings.

In this Mississippi State vs Texas A&M Prediction, Texas A&M is coming as -14-point home favorites, with the total set at 58.5 points. Both teams have been excellent this season, with Texas A&M being undefeated in their five games played so far, but they have been terrible against the spread, with a 1-3 ATS record. On the flip side Mississippi State is a perfect 5-0 ATS this season, and have been winning by an average of 21 points, so I like them as big road dogs in this spot. Take Mississippi State and the +14 points in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Mississippi State +14


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