Mississippi State vs Tennessee Prediction College Football Picks 11/9/24

Pick details

Tennessee (7-1) vs Mississippi State (2-7)

Game Info: Saturday, November 9, 2024 at 7:00 pm (Neyland Stadium)

The Line: Betting Odds: Tennessee -23.5 / Mississippi State +23.5 — Over/Under: 59.5

(Get latest betting odds)


The Mississippi State Bulldogs and the Tennessee Volunteers meet in week 11 college football action from Neyland Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Mississippi State vs. Tennessee prediction.

Mississippi State Recap

The Mississippi State Bulldogs come into this one looking to build on their 45-20 win over UMass last time out to improve to 2-7 on the year. After this game, Mississippi State will head home for a game against Missouri.

Mississippi State Recap

Blake Shapen has thrown for 974 yards, 8 touchdowns, and an interception on 68.5% passing while Michael Van Buren Jr. has 1,373 passing yards with 8 touchdowns and an interception on 57.1% passing. Johnnie Daniels has 446 rushing yards and Davon Booth has 472 rushing yards as well this season. Kevin Coleman Jr. has a team-high 57 receptions for 688 yards and 5 touchdowns while Mario Craver has 355 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns. Jordan Mosley and Seydou Traore each have 327 receiving yards. On defense, Stone Blanton has a team-high 83 total tackles while Isaac Smith has 81 total tackles. As a unit, Mississippi State’s defense has combined for 7 sacks and 7 interceptions this season.

Why the Mississippi State Bulldogs will win

  • Mississippi State has covered the spread in seven of its last eight road games in November.

Tennessee Recap

The Tennessee Volunteers come into this one looking to build on their 28-18 win over Kentucky last time out. After this game, Tennessee will head on the road to take on Georgia.

Vols Looking To Avoid Trap

Nico Iamaleava has thrown for 1,705 yards, 9 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions on 65.4% passing while Dylan Sampson leads the Vols on the ground with 930 rushing yards and 19 touchdowns and DeSean Bishop has 372 yards and 3 scores on the ground as well. Dont’e Thornton Jr. has a team-high 401 receiving yards while Bru McCoy has 345 receiving yards and Chris Brazzell II and Squirrel White each have 200+ receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Arion Carter leads the Vols with 43 total tackles while James Pearce Jr. has a team-high 4.5 sacks on the year. Will Brooks also has 3 interceptions so far this season. As a unit, Tennessee’s defense has combined for 18 sacks and 7 interceptions as well on the year.

Why the Tennessee Volunteers will win

  • Tennessee has won each of its last 18 games against non-AP-ranked teams at Neyland Stadium.
  • Mississippi State has lost each of its last nine games against conference opponents.

Mississippi State vs. Tennessee Prediction

I’m on Mississippi State and the points here. I think this is just a tricky spot for Tennessee with Georgia on deck, and it’s not like Tennessee’s offense has blown anyone away during conference play as it is. Mississippi State is not a good football team, but the offense has improved slightly as of late and I think the Bulldogs can eke out a cover here. Give me the Bulldogs.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Mississippi State +23.5

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