Michigan vs Illinois Prediction College Football Picks 10/19/24

Pick details

Illinois (5-1) vs Michigan (4-2)

October 19, 2024 at 03:30 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Illinois +3 / Michigan -3 — Over/Under: 43.5

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The Michigan Wolverines and Illinois Fighting Illini meet Saturday in week 8 college football action at Memorial Stadium. Here’s a Michigan vs Illinois Prediction. This article will include a Michigan vs Illinois Pick.

Michigan Wolverines Betting Preview

The Michigan Wolverines beat Minnesota, lost to Washington, and they play Michigan State next. Michigan has lost 2 road games since September 2021. Davis Warren is completing 66.7 percent of his passes for 444 yards, 2 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions. Colston Loveland and Semaj Morgan have combined for 339 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while Marlin Klein has 7 receptions.

The Michigan Wolverines ground game is averaging 191.3 yards per contest, and Kalel Millings leads the way with 589 yards and 6 touchdowns. Defensively, Michigan is allowing 22.3 points and 336.2 yards per game. Ernest Hausmann leads the Michigan Wolverines with 40 tackles, Josaiah Stewart has 5 sacks and Will Johnson has 2 interceptions.

Illinois Fighting Illini Betting Preview

The Illinois Fighting Illini beat Purdue, lost to Penn State, and they play Oregon next. Illinois has won 4 straight home games. Luke Altmyer is completing 67.7 percent of his passes for 1,426 yards, 14 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Pat Bryant and Zakhari Franklin have combined for 798 receiving yards and 8 touchdowns, while Collin Dixon has 7 receptions.

The Illinois Fighting Illini ground game is averaging 139.5 yards per contest, and Kaden Feagin leads the way with 306 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Illinois is allowing 20 points and 347.8 yards per game. Matthew Bailey leads the Illinois Fighting Illini with 37 tackles, Gabe Jacas has 3 sacks and Xavier Scott has 3 interceptions.

Why the Illinois Fighting Illini will win

  • Illinois has won each of its last four games at Memorial Stadium (Champaign).
  • Illinois has covered the spread in each of its last five games as an underdog.
  • Michigan has failed to cover the spread in each of its last three games as a favorite.

Total Points Facts


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  • Each of Michigan’s last four games in October has gone OVER the total points line.
  • Each of Illinois’ last four home games against conference opponents has gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Illinois ranks T30th among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (3.3).
  • Illinois ranks T32nd among FBS teams for points allowed per game this season (20.0).
  • Michigan ranks 126th among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (10.5).
  • Michigan ranks T14th among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (2.3).

Michigan vs Illinois Prediction

The Michigan Wolverines don’t have the offense to comfortably lay points with them on the road, and their last two wins were decided by three points. The Illinois Fighting Illini are playing too well this season to just overlook the home underdog role. Illinois has also covered 5 straight games as an underdog, and 3 of those covers were outright wins. Michigan has failed to cover its last 3 games as a favorite, dropping to 2-3 ATS as a favorite this season. Illinois is more than capable of winning this game outright. Give me the free field goal.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Illinois +3

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