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Michigan State vs Minnesota Prediction 11/1/2025 Today’s College Football Picks
Pick details
Michigan State (3-5) vs Minnesota (5-3)
November 1, 2025 at 03:30 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Minnesota -3 — Over/Under: +44.5
In this article, we will formulate a Michigan State vs Minnesota Prediction for this College Football Week 10 game on Saturday, November 1st. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.
Offensively, Minnesota averages 23.9 points per game, ranking 97th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 21.8 points per game, which is 48th. Minnesota averages 314.6 total yards per game (204.1 passing and 110.5 rushing), while allowing 292.1 total yards per game (102.1 rushing and 190.0 passing).
Drake Lindsey leads Minnesota with 1,546 passing yards with 61.4% completed passes and 10 touchdowns. Darius Taylor leads the team in rushing yards with 354, while Lemeke Brockington has a team-high 31 receptions for 339 receiving yards. Defensively, Devon Williams has a team-high 65 total tackles (24 of them solo), while Anthony Smith leads the team in sacks, with 7.0, and John Nestor has a team-high 3 interceptions.
Offensively, Michigan State averages 26.2 points per game, ranking 78th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 32.5 points per game, which is 119th. Michigan State averages 332.8 total yards per game (210.8 passing and 122.0 rushing), while allowing 380.1 total yards per game (149.4 rushing and 230.8 passing).
Aidan Chiles leads Michigan State with 1,392 passing yards with 63.1% completed passes and 10 touchdowns. Makhi Frazier leads the team in rushing yards with 493, while Nick Marsh has a team-high 42 receptions for 479 receiving yards. Defensively, Jordan Hall has a team-high 60 total tackles (31 of them solo), while Jalen Thompson leads the team in sacks, with 2.0, and Jordan Hall has a team-high one interception.
In this Michigan State vs Minnesota Prediction, Minnesota is coming as -3-point home favorites, with the total set at 44.5 points. Michigan State is in a free fall with five consecutive losses after winning their first three games of the season and have been winless on the road, while Minnesota has been undefeated in its five home games. The Golden Gophers have both a better offense and a better defense and I expect them to get the job done at home today. Take Minnesota and lay the -3 points.
Minnesota Golden Gophers Preview
Minnesota has a 5-3 record this season and is sitting 11th in the Big Ten. They are 2-5 ATS, 5-3 in Over/Under and have a 5-0 home record and a 0-3 away record. Minnesota is coming off a 3-41 road loss against Iowa and will face Oregon, Northwestern and Wisconsin next.Offensively, Minnesota averages 23.9 points per game, ranking 97th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 21.8 points per game, which is 48th. Minnesota averages 314.6 total yards per game (204.1 passing and 110.5 rushing), while allowing 292.1 total yards per game (102.1 rushing and 190.0 passing).
Drake Lindsey leads Minnesota with 1,546 passing yards with 61.4% completed passes and 10 touchdowns. Darius Taylor leads the team in rushing yards with 354, while Lemeke Brockington has a team-high 31 receptions for 339 receiving yards. Defensively, Devon Williams has a team-high 65 total tackles (24 of them solo), while Anthony Smith leads the team in sacks, with 7.0, and John Nestor has a team-high 3 interceptions.
Michigan State Spartans Preview
Michigan State has a 3-5 record this season and is sitting 14th in the Big Ten. They are 4-4 ATS, 6-2 in Over/Under and have a 3-2 home record and a 0-3 away record. Michigan State is coming off a 20-31 home loss against Michigan and will face Penn State, Iowa and Maryland next.Offensively, Michigan State averages 26.2 points per game, ranking 78th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 32.5 points per game, which is 119th. Michigan State averages 332.8 total yards per game (210.8 passing and 122.0 rushing), while allowing 380.1 total yards per game (149.4 rushing and 230.8 passing).
Aidan Chiles leads Michigan State with 1,392 passing yards with 63.1% completed passes and 10 touchdowns. Makhi Frazier leads the team in rushing yards with 493, while Nick Marsh has a team-high 42 receptions for 479 receiving yards. Defensively, Jordan Hall has a team-high 60 total tackles (31 of them solo), while Jalen Thompson leads the team in sacks, with 2.0, and Jordan Hall has a team-high one interception.
Michigan State Spartans @ Minnesota Golden Gophers Betting Trends: Week 10
Why the Minnesota Golden Gophers will win
- The home team has won each of Minnesota’s last eight games.
- Michigan State has lost each of its last seven road games.
- Michigan State has failed to cover the spread in eight of its last nine games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Minnesota has covered the spread in each of its last four games against Michigan State.
- Michigan State has lost the first half in each of its last six games against conference opponents.
Why the Michigan State Spartans will win
- Minnesota has lost four of its last five November games as a home favorite.
- Michigan State has won three of its last four November games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
- The underdog has covered the spread in each of Michigan State’s last 10 games.
- Minnesota has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Minnesota has lost the first half in four of its last five games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Michigan State’s last eight games as an underdog have gone OVER the total points line.
- Four of the last five games between Michigan State and Minnesota have gone UNDER the total points line.
Minnesota Golden Gophers Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 10, Anthony Smith leads the Big Ten Conference for sacks (7.0) this season.
Michigan State Spartans Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 10, Ryan Eckley ranks 1st amongst qualified players for gross average yards per punt (50.4) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Minnesota has lost the first quarter in each of its last six games – longest active streak in the FBS.
- Minnesota ranks T128th among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage this season (30.0).
- Michigan State ranks T123rd among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (8.3).
- Michigan State ranks 122nd among FBS teams for H2 opponent points per game this season (15.4).
Michigan State vs Minnesota Prediction
In their previous meeting in 2023, Minnesota won 27-12 at home, but Michigan State is 5-2 in their last 7 meetings. Under is 4-1 in their last 5 meetings.In this Michigan State vs Minnesota Prediction, Minnesota is coming as -3-point home favorites, with the total set at 44.5 points. Michigan State is in a free fall with five consecutive losses after winning their first three games of the season and have been winless on the road, while Minnesota has been undefeated in its five home games. The Golden Gophers have both a better offense and a better defense and I expect them to get the job done at home today. Take Minnesota and lay the -3 points.
