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Miami vs SMU Prediction 11/1/2025 Today’s College Football Picks
Pick details
Miami (FL) (6-1) vs SMU (5-3)
November 1, 2025 at 12:00 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: SMU +12.5 — Over/Under: +50.5
The Miami Hurricanes and SMU Mustangs meet Saturday in college football action at Gerald J. Ford Stadium. Here’s a Miami vs SMU Prediction. This article will include a Miami vs SMU Pick.
The Miami Hurricanes beat Stanford, lost to Louisville, and they play Syracuse next. The Miami Hurricanes have won 16 of their last 20 games. Carson Beck is completing 73.3 percent of his passes for 1,673 yards, 12 touchdowns, and 7 interceptions. Malachi Toney and CJ Daniels have combined for 913 receiving yards and 9 touchdowns, while Keelan Marion has 18 receptions.
The Miami Hurricanes ground game is averaging 154.4 yards per contest, and Mark Fletcher Jr. leads the way with 552 yards and 9 touchdowns. Defensively, Miami is allowing 14.1 points and 270.4 yards per game. Keionte Scott leads the Miami Hurricanes with 34 tackles, Akheem Mesidor has 3.5 sacks and Bryce Fitzgerald has 3 interceptions.
The SMU Mustangs lost to Wake Forest, beat Clemson, and play Boston College next. SMU has won 4 of its last 6 games. Kevin Jennings is completing 66.3 percent of his passes for 2,119 yards, 17 touchdowns, and 8 interceptions. Romello Brinson and Jordan Hudson have combined for 870 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns, while Jalen Cooper has 15 receptions.
The SMU Mustangs ground game is averaging 122 yards per contest, and T.J. Harden leads the way with 456 yards and 5 touchdowns. Defensively, SMU is allowing 21.4 points and 399 yards per game. Isaiah Nwokobia leads the SMU Mustangs with 65 tackles, Terry Webb has 5.5 sacks and Ahmaad Moses has 3 interceptions.
Miami is the more talented team and capable of a beat down, but it’s been shaky lately, losing to Louisville and allowing Stanford to hang around for two quarters. Miami is 4-6 ATS in its last 10 games as a double-digit favorite, and has outright lost twice in this role since last November. SMU has a respectable offense that can make plays through the air, and the defense stops the run and bends but doesn’t break overall. SMU hasn’t been a double-digit underdog in more than two years, so this is a lot of respect for the Hurricanes. The line feels a bit disrespectful. Give me the home dog.
Miami Hurricanes Betting Preview
The Miami Hurricanes beat Stanford, lost to Louisville, and they play Syracuse next. The Miami Hurricanes have won 16 of their last 20 games. Carson Beck is completing 73.3 percent of his passes for 1,673 yards, 12 touchdowns, and 7 interceptions. Malachi Toney and CJ Daniels have combined for 913 receiving yards and 9 touchdowns, while Keelan Marion has 18 receptions.
The Miami Hurricanes ground game is averaging 154.4 yards per contest, and Mark Fletcher Jr. leads the way with 552 yards and 9 touchdowns. Defensively, Miami is allowing 14.1 points and 270.4 yards per game. Keionte Scott leads the Miami Hurricanes with 34 tackles, Akheem Mesidor has 3.5 sacks and Bryce Fitzgerald has 3 interceptions.
SMU Mustangs Betting Preview
The SMU Mustangs lost to Wake Forest, beat Clemson, and play Boston College next. SMU has won 4 of its last 6 games. Kevin Jennings is completing 66.3 percent of his passes for 2,119 yards, 17 touchdowns, and 8 interceptions. Romello Brinson and Jordan Hudson have combined for 870 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns, while Jalen Cooper has 15 receptions.
The SMU Mustangs ground game is averaging 122 yards per contest, and T.J. Harden leads the way with 456 yards and 5 touchdowns. Defensively, SMU is allowing 21.4 points and 399 yards per game. Isaiah Nwokobia leads the SMU Mustangs with 65 tackles, Terry Webb has 5.5 sacks and Ahmaad Moses has 3 interceptions.
Why the SMU Mustangs will win
- SMU has won each of its last nine games in November.
- Miami (FL) has lost three of its last four November games as a road favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
- SMU has covered the spread in four of its last five home games in November.
- Miami (FL) has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last nine November games as a road favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
Why the Miami Hurricanes will win
- Miami (FL) has won 13 of its last 16 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- SMU has lost 20 of its last 22 November games as an underdog.
- SMU has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five November games as an underdog.
- Miami (FL) has covered the spread in four of its last five games as a favorite.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of SMU’s last eight games as an underdog against teams from Florida have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Three of Miami (FL)’s last four games as a favorite have gone UNDER the total points line.
SMU Mustangs Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 10, Romello Brinson leads SMU for receptions (37) this season.
Miami Hurricanes Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 10, Carson Beck ranks 4th amongst qualified players for sack percentage (1.9%) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- SMU ranks 3rd among FBS teams for red zone percentage against this season (64.5).
- SMU ranks T4th among FBS teams for interceptions this season (12).
- Miami (FL) ranks 5th among FBS teams for average point differential in third quarters this season (+7.0).
- Miami (FL) ranks T6th among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (1.4).
Miami vs SMU Prediction
Miami is the more talented team and capable of a beat down, but it’s been shaky lately, losing to Louisville and allowing Stanford to hang around for two quarters. Miami is 4-6 ATS in its last 10 games as a double-digit favorite, and has outright lost twice in this role since last November. SMU has a respectable offense that can make plays through the air, and the defense stops the run and bends but doesn’t break overall. SMU hasn’t been a double-digit underdog in more than two years, so this is a lot of respect for the Hurricanes. The line feels a bit disrespectful. Give me the home dog.
