Miami vs California Prediction College Football Picks 10/5/24

Pick details

California (3-1) vs Miami-FL (5-0)

October 5, 2024 at 10:30 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: California +10.5 — Over/Under: 54.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Miami vs California Prediction for this College Football Week 6 game on Saturday, September 5th, at California Memorial Stadium.  Let’s take a look at a Miami Hurricanes vs California Golden Bears pick. To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

-The Hurricanes’ recent form and recent player performance 

-The Golden Bears’ recent form and recent player performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Miami

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Cal

-Recent betting trends in games played between Miami and Cal

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between the Hurricanes vs Golden Bears. 

Miami Has Impressed

Miami has been impressive so far this season, but they really played with fire in the last game. At one point as time expired, Miami looked like they had lost to Virginia Tech but they ended up winning 38-34. Cameron Ward completed 24 of his 38 passes for 343 yards, three touchdowns, and two interceptions. Elijah Arroyo had a strong game also catching two passes for 88 yards and a touchdown. On the season, Cam Ward has thrown for 1,178 yards, 18 touchdowns, and four interceptions. 

The Hurricanes are averaging 49.4 points on the season, while their defense is giving up 15 points per game. The offense is ranked second in the league, while the defense is ranked 19th. In this game, the Hurricanes need to get the offense out to a fast start and try to run up the score. 

Why Miami Will Beat California

  • California has lost each of its last seven games in October.
  • The favorite has won 17 of California’s last 18 games at California Memorial Stadium.
  • Miami (FL) has covered the spread in five of its last six road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • California has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games as an underdog against top-15 AP-ranked teams.

How Can Cal Bounce Back?

Cal in the last game faced off against Florida State, a game that they could have won, but the offense only managed nine points and they ended up losing by six points. Fernando Mendoza actually had a strong game completing 22 of his 36 passes for 303 yards, zero touchdowns, and one interception. He was dynamic through the air, but he had issues getting into the end zone. Running back Jaydn Ott also had a strong game finishing with 16 carries for 73 yards. 

Cal on the season is averaging 23 points while their defense is giving up 12.8 points per game. The offense is ranked 99th in the league while the defense is ranked 12th in the league. In this game, if Cal wants to find success the defense will need to be good, but they have to get the offense going. 15 points isn’t enough to get the job done. 

Miami vs California Prediction

College Gameday is coming to Cal for this game, but the home fans are going ot come home mad here. Cal in the last game scored only nine points and that type of offense isn’t going to be enough to keep this game close. Miami on the season is averaging 49.4 points and they are going to have no issue running up the score here. Cal is going to have no answer. Back the Miami against the spread.

Shane Mickle's Pick: Miami -10.5

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