Memphis vs Florida Atlantic Prediction 9/27/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Memphis vs Florida Atlantic Prediction for this College Football Week 5 game on Saturday, September 27th at the Flagler Credit Union Stadium. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.

Florida Atlantic Preview

Florida Atlantic has a 1-2 record this season and are sitting on the 10th place of the American Conference. They are 1-2 ATS, 2-1 in Over/Under and have a 1-0 home record and 0-2 away record. The Owls are coming off a 28-38 away loss to Florida International and are playing Memphis, Rice and UAB next.

Offensively, the Owls average 30.3 points per game, which ranks 70th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 30.3 points per game, which is 113th. Florida Atlantic averages 461.7 total yards per game, with 135.0 rushing yards and 326.7 passing yards per game. They allow 361.3 total yards per game, with 135.0 rushing and 226.3 passing yards per game.

Caden Veltkamp leads the Owls with 880 passing yards and 64.7% completed passes. Gemari Sands leads the team in rushing yards, with 232, while Asaad Waseem has a team-high 11 caught passes for 144 receiving yards, and has one touchdown. Defensively, Zyere Horton has a team-high 15 total tackles, 10 of them solo. Wilky Denaud leads the Owls in sacks, with one.

Memphis Preview

Memphis has a 4-0 record this season and are sitting on the 4th place of the American Conference. They are 4-0 ATS, 1-3 in Over/Under and have a 2-0 home record and 2-0 away record. The Tigers are coming off a 32-31 home victory over Arkansas and are playing Florida Atlantic, Tulsa and UAB next.

Offensively, the Tigers average 35.8 points per game, which ranks 47th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 16.0 points per game, which is 29th. Memphis averages 438.0 total yards per game, with 236.3 rushing yards and 201.8 passing yards per game. They allow 308.3 total yards per game, with 95.5 rushing and 212.8 passing yards per game.

Brendon Lewis leads the Tigers with 807 passing yards and 66.7% completed passes. Sutton Smith leads the team in rushing yards, with 394, while Cortez Braham has a team-high 16 caught passes for 255 receiving yards, and has two touchdowns. Defensively, Sam Brumfield has a team-high 22 total tackles, 10 of them solo. Sam Brumfield leads the Tigers in sacks, with 3, while DeMarco Ward has two interceptions.

Memphis vs Florida Atlantic Prediction

In their most recent meeting back in 2020, Memphis won 25-10 on the road, covering the spread, as the game went under the point total. 

In this Memphis vs Florida Atlantic Prediction, Memphis is coming as -13.5-point road favorites, with the total set at 61.5 points. Memphis has been excellent this season, as they have won and covered all of their four games, winning by an average of 29.8 points per game. They are also better both offensively and defensively than Florida Atlantic, who almost crack the bottom-20 of the nation defensively, allowing 30.3 points per game. The value here lies with the road favorite, so take Memphis to win and cover the -13.5 point spread in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Memphis -13.5