Sep 5, 2026; College Station, Texas, USA; Missouri State Bears quarterback Skyler Locklear (9) looks to pass the ball during the first quarter against the Texas A&M Aggies at Kyle Field. Mandatory Credit: Maria Lysaker-Imagn Images
IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect

Lindenwood vs Missouri State Prediction 9/12/2026 Today’s College Football Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Lindenwood Lions Missouri State Bears
Team Records 1-1 0-1
Spread +16.5 -108 -16.5 -112
Moneyline +575 -850
Total Over 52.5 (-108) Under 52.5 (-112)
Where Missouri State Stadium
When Saturday, September 12, 2026
Time 07:00 PM EDT
TV ESPN+

The Lindenwood Lions and the Missouri State Bears meet in week 2 college football action from Robert W. Plaster Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Lindenwood Lions vs. Missouri State Bears Prediction.

Lindenwood Lions Recap

The Lindenwood Lions come into this game looking to bounce back from a 36-32 loss at the hands of Stony Brook last time out to sit at 1-1 this season.

Lions Looking For Road Upset

Pops Battle threw for 209 yards on 19 of 28 passing while adding 53 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns on 14 carries. Jared Rhodes led the ground attack with 59 rushing yards and a TD on 16 attempts. Drew Krobath led all receivers with 81 yards on 5 catches, closely followed by Jalen Smith, who hauled in 5 receptions for 80 yards. On defense, Sam Owens, Caleb Jacobmeier, and Zach Lewis tied for the team high with 5 total tackles each. Mason Burke anchored the pass rush, recording 3 total tackles, 2 tackles for loss, a pass deflection, and a full sack, while King Smith and Andrew Baumgart combined for another sack.

Missouri State Bears Recap

The Missouri State Bears come into this game looking to shake off their 50-0 loss at the hands of Missouri State to sit at 0-1 on the year. After this game, Missouri State will take on Marshall in a matchup at home.

Bears Looking To Make Statement In Home Opener

Skyler Locklear threw for 30 yards on 8 of 17 passing. Breezy Dubar led the ground attack with 20 rushing yards on 7 carries, while King Davis added 14 yards on 5 carries. Dillon Hipp led the team in receiving yards with 15 on 2 catches, while Jmariyae Robinson recorded a team-high 4 receptions for 14 yards. On defense, Jared Lloyd racked up a team-high 13 total tackles and a tackle for loss. Anthony Mattison contributed 2 total tackles, a tackle for loss, a pass deflection, and a sack, while Josh Lukusa added 2 total tackles, 1.5 tackles for loss, and the team’s second sack.

Lindenwood Lions @ Missouri State Bears Betting Trends: Week 2


Why the Missouri State Bears will win

  • The favorite has covered the spread in four of Missouri State’s last five games.

Why the Lindenwood Lions will win

  • Missouri State has lost each of its last four games.
  • Missouri State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four games.
  • Missouri State has lost the first half in each of its last four games.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Missouri State’s last five games in September have gone UNDER the total points line.

Missouri State Bears Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 2, Ramone Green Jr. ranks T1st amongst qualified players for catch rate (100.0%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Missouri State ranks 138th among FBS teams for yards per game this season (67.0).
  • Missouri State ranks 138th among FBS teams for 1st downs this season (four).

Lindenwood Lions vs. Missouri State Bears Prediction

I’m going to take a stab at Lindenwood here. I think the Lions are a decent team, and Missouri State might’ve used all of their mojo last week to give Texas A&M a hard time last week in the first half before it got out of hand. I just don’t have high hopes for Missouri State this season. I’ll take a shot on Lindenwood and the points.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Lindenwood +16.5

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