Jacksonville StateÕs Isaac Walker sacks Liberty quarterback Ethan Vasko during college school football action at AmFirst Stadium in Jacksonville, Alabama September 6, 2025. (Dave Hyatt / Hyatt Media LLC)
Dave Hyatt / Hyatt Media LLC / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

Liberty vs Louisiana Tech Prediction 11/22/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Liberty Flames Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
Team Records 4-6 5-5
Spread -1.5 -102 +1.5 -118
Moneyline -108 -112
Total Over 45.5 (-108) Under 45.5 (-112)
Where Joe Aillet Stadium, Ruston, LA
When Saturday, November 22, 2025
Time 03:00 PM EST
TV ESPN+

The Liberty Flames and the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs meet in week 13 college football action from Joe Alliet Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Liberty Flames vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs prediction.

Liberty Flames Recap

The Liberty Flames come into this game looking to bounce back from a 34-27 loss at the hands of FIU last time out to sit at 4-6 this season. After this game, Liberty will head home for a game against Kennesaw State.

Flames Drop Back-To-Back Games

Ethan Vasko has thrown for 1,820 yards, 9 touchdowns and 8 interceptions on 58.% passing while Evan Dickens has a team-high 844 rushing yards and 10 TDs and Caden Williams has 250 rushing yards. Donte Lee Jr. has a team-high 31 catches for 572 yards and 5 TDs while Julian Gray has 218 receiving yards and Jamari Person has 282 receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Derrell Farrar has a team-high 58 total tackles while Liberty’s defense has combined for 16 sacks and 6 interceptions so far this season.

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Recap

The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs come into this game looking to rebound from a 28-3 loss at the hands of Washington State last time out to sit at 5-5 this season. After this game, Louisiana Tech will head on the road for a game against Missouri State.

Bulldogs Drop 4 Of Last 5

Blake Baker has thrown for 1,251 yards, 5 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 65.8% passing while Trey Kukuk has thrown for 321 yards with 2 TDs and 3 INTs and Evan Bullock has thrown for 243 yards and 2 interceptions on 56.5% passing. Clay Thevenin has 516 rushing yards with 8 TDs while Omiri Wiggins has 415 rushing yards and 4 TDs on the ground. Eli Finley leads the Bulldogs in receiving with 31 receptions for 365 yards while Devin Gandy has 356 receiving yards and 2 TDs and Marlion Jackson has 282 receiving yards as well. On defense, Jacob Field has a team-high 71 total tackles while Mekhi Mason has a team-high 3.5 sacks and Jakari Foster has a team-high 4 interceptions this season. As a team, Louisiana Tech’s defense has combined for 14 sacks and 15 interceptions so far this season.

Liberty Flames @ Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Betting Trends: Week 13


Why the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs will win

  • Liberty has lost four of its last five games as a road favorite.
  • Louisiana Tech has won five of its last six home games.
  • Louisiana Tech has covered the spread in each of its last four November games as a home underdog.
  • Liberty has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games as a road favorite.
  • Louisiana Tech has won the first half in three of its last four home games against conference opponents.
  • Louisiana Tech has won the first quarter in seven of its last eight games against conference opponents.

Why the Liberty Flames will win

  • Louisiana Tech has lost 15 of its last 16 games as an underdog.
  • The favorite has won eight of Louisiana Tech’s last nine games at Origin Bank Field at Joe Aillet Stadium.
  • The favorite has covered the spread in five of Louisiana Tech’s last six games at Origin Bank Field at Joe Aillet Stadium.
  • Louisiana Tech has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games.
  • Liberty has won the first quarter in four of its last five games against conference opponents.
  • Liberty has won the first half in each of its last five games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Louisiana Tech’s last 10 games as a home underdog have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Each of Liberty’s last three games against teams from Louisiana have gone OVER the total points line.

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 13, Jakari Foster ranks T9th amongst FBS players for interceptions (4) this season.

Liberty Flames Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 13, Evan Dickens is one of only 18 players in the FBS to record 100+ rushing yards in three or more consecutive games this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Louisiana Tech ranks T5th among FBS teams for interceptions this season (15).
  • Louisiana Tech ranks T6th among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage against this season (33.3).
  • Liberty ranks T8th among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (2.3).
  • Liberty ranks T17th among FBS teams for H1 opponent points per game this season (9.0).

Liberty Flames vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Prediction

I’m on Louisiana Tech here. I know the quarterback situation for LA Tech is a mess right now because of the Blake Baker injury, but Liberty has been a dumpster fire all season long and while bowl eligibility is on the line here, I think LA Tech gets the job done at home here to put a cap on Liberty’s miserable season. Give me LA Tech.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: LA Tech +1.5

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