Liberty vs FIU Prediction 11/15/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

In this article we will formulate a Liberty vs FIU prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, November 15th at Pitbull Stadium in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 12 matchup. 

Liberty Flames Betting Preview

The Liberty Flames are 4-5 (3-2) this season after they lost to Missouri State by a score of 21-17 in their last game. Liberty led 10-0 at halftime and 17-14 in the fourth quarter, but allowed a touchdown with 27 seconds left for the loss. The Flames out gained Missouri State by a total of 398-332, went 8-18 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 2-1 in the game. Ethan Vasko went 18-35 for 196 yards and one interception, while Evan Dickens rushed 28 times for 127 yards and one score. Reese Smith led the receivers with four catches for 62 yards in the game. The Liberty defense recorded four sacks and five tackles for loss in the defeat. 

Prior to that game, Liberty defeated Delaware by a score of 59-30 and New Mexico State by a score of 30-27. The Flames have won three of their last four games and they are currently fifth in the CUSA standings. Liberty has scored 23.3 points per game with 197.2 passing yards and 177.1 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 22.4 points against per game this season. Ethan Vasko has thrown for 1,602 yards, eight touchdowns, and six interceptions, while Evan Dickens has rushed for 738 yards and nine scores on 128 carries this season. 

FIU Panthers Betting Preview

The FIU Panthers are 4-5 (2-3) this year after they defeated Middle Tennessee by a score of 56-30 in their last game. FIU led 21-17 at halftime and added 35 points in the second half for the high scoring win. The Panthers out gained Middle Tennessee by a total of 401-364, went 5-12 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a margin of 3-2 in the game. Joe Pesansky went 17-28 for 257 yards, four touchdowns, and two interceptions, while Kejon Owens rushed 15 times for 68 yards and two scores. Alex Perry led the receivers with five catches for 71 yards and two touchdowns in the win. The FIU defense recorded three sacks and seven tackles for loss in the game. 

Prior to that game, FIU lost to Missouri State by a score of 28-21 and Kennesaw State by a score of 45-26. The Panthers have lost two of their last three games and they are currently eighth in the CUSA standings. FIU has scored 26.0 points per game with 214.6 passing yards and 178.7 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 29.9 points against per game this season. Keyone Jenkins is the starting quarterback for the Panthers, but he is dealing with an injury, so we may see Joe Pesansky once again. Kejon Owens has led the ground game with 955 yards and nine scores on 151 carries this year. 

Why the Florida International Panthers will win

• Liberty has lost four of its last five road games.
• Liberty has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five road games in November.
• Florida International has covered the spread in six of its last eight games at Pitbull Stadium.

Why the Liberty Flames will win

• Florida International has lost 16 of its last 18 November games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Liberty has won eight of its last 10 November games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• The favorite has covered the spread in five of Florida International’s last six games at Pitbull Stadium.
• Florida International has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six November games as a home underdog.
• Liberty has won the first half in six of its last eight games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Florida International’s last six November games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
• Four of Liberty’s last five road games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• Florida International ranks 116th among FBS teams for H1 opponent points per game this season (16.6).
• Florida International ranks 21st among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage against this season (38.1).
• Liberty ranks T118th among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (3.8).
• Liberty ranks T117th among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (8.4).

Liberty vs FIU Prediction 

Liberty comes into this contest after having their three game winning streak snapped last week and they will be on the road here. The Flames scored 59 and 30 points in the two games prior to that loss, but the offense stalled out against Missouri State. FIU is coming off of a blowout win over Middle Tennessee, but their defense has allowed at least 28 points in four of their last five games. I think we are going to see plenty of points in this matchup, as the Liberty offense will get back on track. Take the over here.

David Racey is 117-95 (55%) in College Football this season and is one of the top College Football Handicappers on the site. Click here for his premium plays for the week!

David Racey's Pick: Over 51.5